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Cannon Arms in 2016

December 23, 2016
 

Which outfielders had the best arms throughout the 2016 season? To answer this question, we use Outfield Arm Runs Saved. This metric evaluates fielders’ arms by considering both their ability to throw out baserunners without the use of a relay man—Outfield Kills—and the percentage of the time a baserunner attempts to take an extra base on that given fielder (XBT%).

Most Outfield Arm Runs Saved, 2016
Player OF Arm Runs Saved
Adam Eaton 11
Starling Marte 9
Colby Rasmus 9
Ender Inciarte 7
Jackie Bradley Jr. 7
Leonys Martin 6
Jake Marisnick 5
Odubel Herrera 5
Jarrod Dyson 5

 

We can see that Adam Eaton led the way in 2016 with 11 Runs Saved due to his arm—9 saved in right field and 2 saved in center—followed by Starling Marte and Colby Rasmus with 9.

Let's examine the leaders in both Outfield Kills and in preventing runner advancements. It is important to look at the players with the lowest XBT% for each outfield position because a runner is less likely to take an extra base when a left fielder, who is closer to third base, fields the ball. The left field positional average for extra bases taken is only 37 percent, as opposed to 55 and 47 percent for center field and right field, respectively.

Most Outfield Kills, 2016
Player Outfield Kills
Adam Eaton 16
Starling Marte 16
Colby Rasmus 10
Jeff Francoeur 9
Ender Inciarte 9
Mookie Betts 9
Jackie Bradley Jr. 9
Ryan Braun 9
 
Lowest Rate of Extra Bases Taken (XBT), 2016 by Outfield Position, 
Min. 500 Innings
Pos Player XBT Throw Opps XBT% Positional Average
LF Colby Rasmus 12 55 21.8% 37.0%
CF Kevin Kiermaier 28 67 41.8% 55.3%
  Leonys Martin 41 98 41.8% 55.3%
RF Domingo Santana 16 46 34.8% 47.0%

 

Eaton and Marte led the league in Outfield Kills with 16, tying for the third most in a season since Baseball Info Solutions began collecting this data in 2003. Meanwhile, along with finishing third in Outfield Kills with 10, Rasmus led the league with the lowest rate of extra bases taken. He only allowed 21.8 percent of runners to advance.

 
 

COMMENTS (1 Comment)

MarisFan61
I know that John doesn't generally reply to questions on here, but I'm going to pretend that he does, because this is a question about what he's saying.....

John, it seems to me that either you're putting something misleadingly or this metric could easily be improved.
As you say, the metric considers "their ability to throw out baserunners without the use of a relay man—Outfield Kills—and the percentage of the time a baserunner attempts to take an extra base on that given fielder (XBT%)."

First of all it isn't clear what you're indicating with the second thing, because, at least going on what I've thought, "XBT%" doesn't mean what you say there, but rather the % of the time that the runner actually gets the extra base. If you really mean the parenthetical thing (XBT%) and not how you put it before that, that's better. If you really mean the other thing, this shorthand metric isn't as good as such a shorthand metric could be.
10:19 AM Dec 25th
 
 
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