Fourth of July Poll Report

July 4, 2019
 

Fourth of July Poll Report

            Good morning everybody.  With 977 twitter people responding in Poll #84, we now have had more than 100,000 responses in the process, a little milestone I guess.  The rankings below represent a distillation of the feedback from about 60,000 of those, the other 40,000 being no longer relevant because they were so long ago that we can now say that we have more current information about those candidates.

            John Delaney was the Big Fish is the Little Pond yesterday, winning 34% of the vote in a contest representing about 3½% of the vote distribution.  It was the best polling performance Delaney has ever had. It pushes him up a few points and puts him ahead of Gravel and Williamson, although Williamson also established a new high-water mark for herself, at 74.   Bill de Blasio also had his best polling performance in quite some time, drawing 26% support. . .not that 26% in a poll of tail-enders is anything, really, but he is in 28th place among the 28 candidates being tracked, which means he should finish last in any polling group, and he didn’t finish last; he finished second. A chart summary of yesterday’s poll:

Scores

Flake

121

Schultz

110

de Blasio

49

Delaney

65

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Predicted

Flake

35

Schultz

32

de Blasio

14

Delaney

19

Actual

Flake

24

Schultz

16

de Blasio

26

Delaney

34

 

            Since yesterday:

            Delaney is up 11 points as a result of yesterday’s poll.

            Bernie Sanders is up 9 points as a result of the removal of the May 14th poll from the relevant data.   

            Bill de Blasio is up 7 point as a result of yesterday’s poll.

            Jeff Flake is down 7 points  as a result of yesterday’s poll.

            Howard Schultz is down 10 points as a result of yesterday’s poll.

            Stacey Abrams is down 12 points as a result of the removal of the May 14th poll.

            The current standings:

           

Rank

First

Last

Current

1

Elizabeth

Warren

2000

2

Joe

Biden

1043

3

Pete

Buttigieg

1042

4

Kamala

Harris

837

5

Amy

Klobuchar

493

6

Bernie

Sanders

442

7

Cory

Booker

433

8

Donald

Trump

383

9

Beto

O'Rourke

335

10

Andrew

Yang

327

11

Kirsten

Gillibrand

310

12

Julian

Castro

276

13

Stacey

Abrams

253

14

Bill

Weld

216

15

Jay

Inslee

215

16

John

Hickenlooper

212

17

Tulsi

Gabbard

181

18

Michael

Bennet

133

19

Jeff

Flake

114

20

Howard

Schultz

100

21

Tim

Ryan

99

22

Steve

Bullock

89

23

Eric

Swalwell

86

24

Seth

Moulton

84

25

John

Delaney

76

26

Marianne

Williamson

74

27

Mike

Gravel

69

28

Bill

de Blasio

56

 

            Thanks for reading, and for voting.  Enjoy the holiday. 

 
 

COMMENTS (1 Comment)

MattGoodrich
So you've had 100,000 responses, but how many different people has it been? Is it the same 1000 people responding 100 times each?
3:18 AM Jul 5th
 
 
©2019 Be Jolly, Inc. All Rights Reserved.|Web site design and development by Americaneagle.com|Terms & Conditions|Privacy Policy