Remember me

The 99th Percentile

September 4, 2009

            Do you remember those exams that you had to take when you were in school, where they give you a grade in terms of your percentile rank?   What I never understood about those was whether there was a zeroth  percentile or a 100th percentile.   I knew a lot of people who said they were in the 99th percentile in something or other, which I gather meant the top one percent, but. . .does that mean that there was a zeroth percentile?   I never knew anyone who was in the zeroth  percentile, so maybe there were only 99.   But that doesn’t seem reasonable, because that would mean that the population was being divided into 99 segments, which seems to deny the whole premise of the “percentile” concept.   So I don’t know.

            Anyway, I got to wondering who the 99th percentile baseball players would be.    Let’s take all of the seasons by all of the regular second basemen in major league history.   Who would be the top 1%?   The top 1% of third basemen?

            Actually, my idea was a little grander than that.   My idea was, wouldn’t it be fun to represent each player in baseball history on a percentile rank basis season by season.   Let’s take.  . .Manny Trillo.    Manny Trillo in his first second as a regular, 1975, hit .248 with a .622 OPS in a hitter’s park.   I’m guessing that, even if you included his defense, he’d be somewhere in the bottom one-third of all regular second basemen across history. . .let’s say the 31st percentile. 

 

 

1975

Manny Trillo

31

 

            He was no better his second year—worse, actually, but then began to catch up to the competition, and by 1980, including his offense and his very good defense, may have been as high as the 80th percentile.    Let’s fill in those years with make-believe numbers just to illustrate the concept:

 

 

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

Manny Trillo

31

24

55

51

48

80

77

54

45

40

11

 

           

            After hitting just .224 with a .576 OPS and declining defense in 1985 he lost his regular status, after which he disappears from our chart.   Well, not necessarily.   What you could do then is fill in his part-time seasons with numbers that represent not where he ranks among all regulars, but where he would rank among regulars, had he been a regular.   I will put these seasons in in italics, and move the “regular” seasons to bold face:

19…

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

Manny Trillo

47

3

31

24

55

51

48

80

77

54

45

40

11

74

73

40

4

 

            And then suppose that we had these “percentile scans” for all the second basemen of that era.   Here’s the lines added for Willie Randolph and Bobby Grich, still working with best-guess numbers.  Grich was primarily a shortstop in some seasons, so we’ll have to distinguish those seasons from the second base competition:

 

19…

70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

B Grich

SS

SS

SS

74

98

95

97

SS

42

98

55

98

76

91

64

45

57

 

 

 

 

M Trillo

 

 

 

47

3

31

24

55

51

48

80

77

54

45

40

11

74

73

40

4

 

Randolph

 

 

 

 

 

0

55

70

71

73

92

59

73

74

75

74

92

50

60

51

55

 

            My line isn’t long enough to finish Randolph’s career, but you get my point.   By doing this one could rank players among their contemporaries in a very space-efficient way, and also provide a basis to compare careers of different types of players—a shortstop and a catcher—and players from different eras.   Ron Santo against Sam Crawford.  It would be a lot of fun.

            Unfortunately, we have not yet reached the point where we’re capable of creating such rankings.  That day will come, in your lifetime if you’re under 40 and probably even in mine, but we’re not there yet.   But as a first step, I thought I would try to identify the 99th percentile seasons.

            This involves a certain amount of guess-work, so you need to keep the focus on what we are doing here—creating a list of the greatest seasons ever at each position and debating the candidates—rather than on what we’re not yet able to do, which is to prove that our list is correct.   Also, I’m going to skip the starting pitchers because I just did a big thing last week on starting pitchers, and the role of starting pitchers across history has changed so much that it raises some other analytical issues.

            First of all, how many players can we choose at each position?   It kind of depends on what you consider to be “major league”, but for present purposes we’ll consider the 19th century to be major league beginning in 1876, and we’ll count the Union Association (1884) and the Federal League (1914-1915).   That gives us 2,576 team/seasons in major league history through 2008, 2,606 including 2009.  One percent of that would be 26 seasons, so we will consider 26 seasons at each position to make up the 99th percentile.

            This level of exclusivity is roughly equivalent to:

            a) An MVP Award,

            b) One player per team per position, or

            c) One player per franchise per decade. 

            In an eight-team league with eight regulars on each team there would be 64 regular players and one MVP, or one in 64.   In a 16-team league with eight regulars on each team it would be one in 128, and in a 14-team league with a DH rule it would be one in 126.   Averaged across history, an MVP Award is roughly equivalent to one player in a hundred.

            We are choosing 26 players and there are 30 franchises, so looked at in that way, this level of achievement is roughly equal to the best season at the position in the history of a franchise. . the best Yankee second baseman ever, the best Padre second baseman ever, etc.

            A franchise in a ten-year period has 80 regulars or 90 if there is a DH rule, or 100 if you include the relief pitcher or 150 if you include a DH, a relief pitcher and five starting pitchers.   Somewhere between one in 80 and one in 150—so again, this level of selectivity is roughly equivalent to the top one percent.

            Starting with catchers.    There are five seasons in baseball history that seem like obvious top-26 selections:   Johnny Bench, 1970, Roy Campanella, 1953, Bill Dickey, 1937, Gabby Hartnett, 1930 and Mike Piazza, 1998.   These are the stats for those five seasons:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Johnny Bench

1970

158

35

4

45

148

54

5

.293

.345

.587

.932

Campanella

1953

144

26

3

41

142

67

4

.312

.395

.611

1.006

Bill Dickey

1937

140

35

2

29

133

73

3

.332

.417

.570

.987

Gabby Hartnett

1930

141

31

3

37

122

55

0

.339

.404

.630

1.034

Mike Piazza

1997

152

32

1

40

124

69

5

.362

.431

.638

1.070

 

            Hartnett, Dickey, Campanella and Bench were also extremely good defensive catchers.    Piazza couldn’t throw, but his batting numbers were so overwhelming that I think he deserves to be included.

            Yogi Berra’s best seasons are hard to identify from among a long run of MVP and MVP-type seasons, but I’ll choose 1950, when he drove in 125 runs, and 1954, when he drove in 124.   Mickey Cochrane is even harder.   Cochrane won the American League MVP Award in 1928 and 1934, but the interesting thing is that if you take Cochrane’s seasons from 1928 to 1934 and figure Season Scores, 1928 and 1934 are the weakest seasons in that run.   His best season is hard to identify, but I’m going with 1932.   In ’32 he hit for one of the lowest batting averages of his career (.293), but had his best power year.   Cochrane didn’t play as many games per year as Berra or the other top catchers, and his numbers were compiled in an era when it took a lot of runs to win a game.   Still, his on base percentages were stratospheric, and he was much respected as a team leader.   Campanella has two more seasons in which he

            a) cleared .300 home runs,

            b) cleared 100 RBI,

            c) cleared .300,

            d) played great defense, and

            e) won the MVP Award.

            It’s hard to find the weakness in that package, so I’ll go ahead and put those on the list:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Yogi Berra

1950

151

30

6

28

124

55

4

.322

.380

.533

.912

Yogi Berra

1954

151

28

6

22

125

56

0

.307

.367

.488

.855

Campanella

1951

143

33

1

33

108

53

1

.325

.393

.590

.983

Campanella

1955

123

20

1

32

107

56

2

.318

.395

.583

.978

M Cochrane

1932

139

35

4

23

112

100

0

.293

.412

.510

.921

 

            Not saying that these are the ten best seasons ever by a catcher, but these are ten seasons that we can put into the top one percent without too much ‘a frettin’ about it. 

Bench has two more seasons that are of almost the same quality as his 1970 show—1972, when he also won the MVP Award, and 1974, when he didn’t but probably had a better year than ’72.   Pudge 2—Ivan Rodriguez—had very impressive triple crown numbers in 1999, and of course with his defense he’s hard to ignore, so we’ll include him, and two more seasons by Piazza in which his numbers are almost as good as in ’97:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Johnny Bench

1972

147

22

2

40

125

100

6

.270

.379

.541

.920

Johnny Bench

1974

160

38

2

33

129

80

5

.280

.363

.507

.870

Ivan Rodriguez

1999

144

29

1

35

113

24

25

.332

.356

.558

.914

Mike Piazza

1996

148

16

0

36

105

81

0

.336

.422

.563

.985

Mike Piazza

1998

151

38

1

32

111

58

1

.328

.390

.570

.960

 

            If we include Mike Piazza, 1996 (36 homers, 105 RBI, .336), what would be the justification not to include Joe Torre in 1966 (36 homers, 101 RBI, .316)?   Defense?  Torre was not really a good defensive catcher, but then. . . it’s Piazza.   Twenty points in batting average?   The NL ERA in 1996 was 4.22; in 1966 it was 3.61.   That seems bigger than twenty points in batting average.

            OK, Torre’s on the list, but now we have to confess that we have a problem.   We don’t have a catchers on the list from before 1930.

            When professional baseball began in the 1870s, players did not wear gloves—even the catchers.   Catchers normally stood 15 or 20 feet behind home plate when there were no runners on base and just tried to knock the ball down or even let it go, but they would move up behind the batter and try to catch the pitch—bare-handed—when there was a runner on base.   It was a tough job, and catchers at that time also had no shin guards and no face masks.   They worked naked, so to speak.   Even when the first gloves were introduced, they were just gloves, not large padded-leather baseball-catching apparatus, as they are now.   Catchers were very prone to injury, so they rarely played more than about 60 games in a season.   Many of the best-hitting and best all-around catchers would catch once or twice a week, but play the outfield or some other position the rest of the time.    Thus, in the early history of the game, we don’t have catchers with cleanup-hitter stats, which is not to say that there were no good catchers.    I don’t think we can entirely ignore the early catchers.              

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Buck Ewing

1890

83

19

15

8

72

39

36

.338

.406

.545

.951

King Kelly

1888

107

22

11

9

71

31

56

.318

.368

.480

.848

Chief Meyers

1912

126

16

5

6

54

47

8

.358

.441

.477

.918

Joe Torre

1966

148

20

3

36

101

60

0

.315

.382

.560

.943

 

            We’re getting to the point where it’s hard.   Jack Clements in 1894 hit .394 with 13 homers, 75 RBI in 88 games—better numbers than Kelly or Ewing, and there is an appeal to the idea of including the last left-handed catcher on the list.   Still, the 1895 season had very high batting averages and batting numbers, and Clements’ defense was not in the same group with Ewing and Kelly, so. . .he’s not going to make my list.

            Rudy York in 1938 drove in 127 runs and had 92 walks, a .298 average for a .417 on base percentage, plus—and this was very surprising to me—his team, the Tigers, allowed the fewest stolen bases in the American League in 1938.  York had a poor defensive reputation as a catcher; he was a big guy, but he was quick enough to be a catcher, athletic enough, had a great arm, but he just didn’t have the strong desire to be a good defensive catcher.   Kind of like Earl Williams.

            I’m sure you know this in a general way, but there are a million things a young catcher has to learn.   I couldn’t begin to list them because I don’t know most of them, but for one thing, there are 50 ways to tip the batter about the pitch that’s coming in, and major league hitters are really good at picking those things up.  You put up a glove above the waist too early, the batter can see it even if he’s not peeking, and you know, you don’t throw an off-speed pitch above the waist, so that’s a fastball.  If a major league hitter knows a fastball is coming, he’s going to hit .400 no matter who he is, so you can’t really do that.

            When there is a bunt or a tap in front of the plate you have to run past the bunt so that when you pick it up your feet are in position to throw to first.  If you try to pick up the ball as quickly as you can then you have to shuffle your feet before you throw to first and it slows you down; it is not uncommon to see a young catcher mess that up, even in the major leagues.

            There are so many of those things that a young catcher is supposed to learn that young catchers very often have jobs taken away from them even if they’re ready to go with the bat.   That’s all true, but then so is this:  that we all tend to over-value the things we know, and to under-value the things we don’t know.   The “finished catching” skills are important, but also, a lot of people who run baseball teams—like Del Young, who took the catching job away from Rudy York in 1940—are old catchers, who may reasonably be suspected of putting more emphasis on these small catching skills than is entirely necessary.    Del Young famously pulled York out of the catching job and sent him to first base, sending Greenberg to the outfield, and the Tigers won the pennant in 1940.  That’s some evidence against York as a catcher, but on the other hand, the Tigers won the pennant at least 60% because the Yankees had a bad year, so. .  .

            York had a hell of a year as a catcher in ’38, and I had him on my list of the 99th percentile group for a long time, but when I counted the totals by decade I had about eight times as many 1930s regulars on the lists as 1960s regulars, and we all know that’s an illusion created by the hitting norms of the era, so I just couldn’t go with that, and that spot went to Elston Howard in ’63.   Howard’s batting numbers aren’t nearly as good superficially, but it took a lot fewer runs to win a game in ’63 than it did in ’37, Howard threw just as well and did everything else better in the field, and won the MVP Award.

            Also in ’38 Ernie Lombardi hit .342 with some power and won the MVP Award, and he’s in the Hall of Fame, so certainly he’s a candidate, but. . . .there’s the same problem with the 1930s, and Lombardi wasn’t a very good defensive catcher either, and really shouldn’t be in the Hall of Fame.   I gave that slot to Bill Dickey in ’36—better batting average than Lombardi (.362-.342), more homers (22-19), more RBI (107-95), better defense, and his team won the pennant.   Dickey didn’t play as much as Lombardi, quite—but he scored 65% more runs (99-60), in part because he could run at least as well as the average postal carrier, and I just think I have to go with Dickey. 

            Dickey could be on the list in ’38 and ’39, too, but. . .let’s not get greedy.   Berra could be on the list in ’51, ’52, ’53, ’55 or numerous other seasons; Piazza could be on the list in ’95, ’99, 2000 or 2001, but they’re already on the list multiple times, and we’ve got a lot of candidates here.    

            Todd Hundley in 1996 hit 41 homers and drove in 112 runs, but his average was .259, and why would I pick him instead of another Piazza season?   I gave that slot instead to Javier Lopez in 2003.    It’s steroid era numbers, Javy’s 1.065 OPS in 2003 misses by only five points of being the highest all-time for a catcher.   He’s behind one season of Piazza, but ahead of every other season of Piazza and every season by everybody else.

            Lopez didn’t have a great reputation as a defensive player, in part because Greg Maddux I guess never liked to work with him, but Lopez moved around good and allowed only 52 stolen bases in 2003.   The Braves won one hell of a lot of games with Lopez behind the plate and had the greatest pitching staffs of all time; how bad a catcher could he have been?   I think that season’s got to be on the list.

            At this point we have on the list—

            One season from the 1880s,

            One season from the 1890s,

            One season from the 1910s,

            Four seasons from the 1930s,

            Five seasons from the 1950s,

            Two seasons from the 1960s,

            Three seasons from the 1970s,

            Four seasons from the 1990s, and

            One season from our present decade.

 

            We’ve got four spots left, and we need to look first at the 1900s, the 1940s and the 1980s.    I think the best all-around year by a catcher in the 1980s was by Gary Carter in 1982.   Certainly it was Gary Carter in one year or another, anyway, and I’m going with 1982.

            But is Gary Carter, in his best season, really better than Carlton Fisk in ’77.   It’s close; they’re actually similar.   Fisk in ’77 hit .315 with 26 homers, 102 RBI; Carter had similar numbers.   Maybe I’m just splitting things up to make it easier, but I’m going with Fisk in ’77, rather than another season from the 1980s.

            At least superficially the best year by a catcher in the 1940s was by Walker Cooper in 1947--.305 with 35 homers, 122 RBI.   This is an interesting year.   Cooper’s team, the New York Giants, set a National League record for home runs, with 221, and led the NL in runs scored by 50, but was never in the pennant race, finishing fourth at 81-73 with a strong September.    Several players on the team had big numbers.  First baseman Johnny Mize hit 51 homers, and outfielder Willard Marshall, who never hit more than 17 in any other season, hit 36.

            Because of this, and because the park home run index is 154, all of these numbers tend to be set aside by historians; Mize was third in the MVP voting, but Cooper and Marshall were well down the list.   Cooper drew only 24 walks that year, which certainly reduces his appeal to the analytical crowd.

            But looking at it a little more carefully, it seems to me to be a worthy season.   Yes, the park home run index was 154, but the park run index was 103, a fairly neutral park for scoring runs, meaning that the balance of the numbers is fairly legitimate.   The Giants allowed only 29 stolen bases on the season, the lowest total of any major league team.   Cooper had been a highly respected defensive catcher in his years with the St. Louis Cardinals from 1940 to 1944, helping them to three consecutive National League pennants.   He was able to play in the majors until 1957, when he was 42 years old.   The Giants didn’t win the pennant in 1947, but 81-73 isn’t actually all that bad a record; I would guess that we have other catchers on our list whose teams did no better.  

            Cooper’s numbers are discounted because they are not seen as a “real” level of ability.   If he had done the same thing four times, we’d look at them as real numbers, but he didn’t.   But I think it was a real level of ability, albeit a level of ability that he was unable to sustain.   I think intuition argues against Cooper but the facts argue on his behalf, and I’m putting him on the list.

            That leaves one spot open.   The candidates include Mickey Cochrane (1928, 1929, 1930, 1931, 1933 and 1934), Yogi Berra (1951, 1955 and 1956), Stan Lopata (1956), Elston Howard (1961 and 1964), Dick Dietz (1970), Joe Torre (1970), Johnny Bench (1975), Ted Simmons (1975), Darren Daulton (1992 and 1993), Jason Kendall (1998), and Joe Mauer (2006).  I think I am going to go, however, with Ivan Rodriguez in 1996, making our complete set:

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Johnny Bench

1970

158

35

4

45

148

54

5

.293

.345

.587

.932

Johnny Bench

1972

147

22

2

40

125

100

6

.270

.379

.541

.920

Johnny Bench

1974

160

38

2

33

129

80

5

.280

.363

.507

.870

Yogi Berra

1950

151

30

6

28

124

55

4

.322

.380

.533

.912

Yogi Berra

1954

151

28

6

22

125

56

0

.307

.367

.488

.855

Campanella

1951

143

33

1

33

108

53

1

.325

.393

.590

.983

Campanella

1953

144

26

3

41

142

67

4

.312

.395

.611

1.006

Campanella

1955

123

20

1

32

107

56

2

.318

.395

.583

.978

Gary Carter

1982

154

32

1

29

97

78

2

.293

.381

.510

.890

M Cochrane

1932

139

35

4

23

112

100

0

.293

.412

.510

.921

Walker Cooper

1947

140

24

8

35

122

24

2

.305

.339

.586

.926

Bill Dickey

1936

112

26

8

22

107

46

0

.362

.428

.617

1.045

Bill Dickey

1937

140

35

2

29

133

73

3

.332

.417

.570

.987

Buck Ewing

1890

83

19

15

8

72

39

36

.338

.406

.545

.951

Carlton Fisk

1977

152

26

3

26

102

75

7

.315

.402

.521

.922

Gabby Hartnett

1930

141

31

3

37

122

55

0

.339

.404

.630

1.034

Elston Howard

1963

135

21

6

28

85

35

0

.287

.342

.528

.869

King Kelly

1888

107

22

11

9

71

31

56

.318

.368

.480

.848

Javier Lopez 

2003

129

29

3

43

109

33

0

.328

.378

.687

1.065

Chief Meyers

1912

126

16

5

6

54

47

8

.358

.441

.477

.918

Mike Piazza

1996

148

16

0

36

105

81

0

.336

.422

.563

.985

Mike Piazza

1997

152

32

1

40

124

69

5

.362

.431

.638

1.070

Mike Piazza

1998

151

38

1

32

111

58

1

.328

.390

.570

.960

Ivan Rodriguez

1998

145

40

4

21

91

32

9

.321

.358

.513

.871

Ivan Rodriguez

1999

144

29

1

35

113

24

25

.332

.356

.558

.914

Joe Torre

1966

148

20

3

36

101

60

0

.315

.382

.560

.943

 

            OK, that was fun, but it also chewed up 3,000 words, so I’m going to have to cut to the chase a little more quickly at the other positions.     At first base, these are the 26 seasons that I selected:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Dick Allen

1972

148

28

5

37

113

99

19

.308

.420

.603

1.023

Cap Anson

1886

125

35

11

10

147

55

29

.371

.433

.544

.977

Rod Carew

1977

155

38

16

14

100

69

23

.388

.449

.570

1.019

Norm Cash

1961

159

22

8

41

132

124

11

.361

.487

.662

1.148

Ed Delahanty

1895

116

49

10

11

106

86

46

.404

.500

.617

1.117

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jimmie Foxx

1932

154

33

9

58

169

116

3

.364

.469

.749

1.218

Jimmie Foxx

1933

149

37

9

48

163

96

2

.356

.449

.703

1.153

Jimmie Foxx

1938

149

33

9

50

175

119

5

.349

.462

.704

1.166

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Lou Gehrig

1927

155

52

18

47

175

109

10

.373

.474

.765

1.240

Lou Gehrig

1930

154

42

17

41

174

101

12

.379

.473

.721

1.194

Lou Gehrig

1931

155

31

15

46

184

117

17

.341

.446

.662

1.108

Lou Gehrig

1934

154

40

6

49

165

109

9

.363

.465

.706

1.172

Lou Gehrig

1936

155

37

7

49

152

130

3

.354

.478

.696

1.174

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Greenberg

1937

154

49

14

40

183

102

8

.337

.436

.668

1.105

Todd Helton

2000

160

59

2

42

147

103

5

.372

.463

.698

1.162

K Hernandez

1979

161

48

11

11

105

80

11

.344

.417

.513

.930

Ryan Howard

2006

159

25

1

58

149

108

0

.313

.425

.659

1.084

Kluszewski

1954

149

28

3

49

141

78

0

.326

.407

.642

1.049

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Don Mattingly

1986

162

53

2

31

113

53

0

.352

.394

.573

.967

McCovey

1969

149

26

2

45

126

121

0

.320

.453

.656

1.108

M McGwire

1998

155

21

0

70

147

162

1

.299

.470

.752

1.222

Johnny Mize

1937

145

40

7

25

113

56

2

.364

.427

.595

1.021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stan Musial

1946

156

50

20

16

103

73

7

.365

.434

.587

1.021

Albert Pujols

2003

157

51

1

43

124

79

5

.359

.439

.667

1.106

George Sisler

1920

154

49

18

19

122

46

42

.407

.449

.632

1.082

George Sisler

1922

142

42

18

8

105

49

51

.420

.467

.594

1.061

 

 

            The two things I can assure you are (1) that, when we reach the point at which we can do a more sophisticated analysis of this issue, these same 26 seasons will not be selected, and (2) that some of them will.    The biggest problem with the selection of first basemen for the 99th percentile group is that the concentration of big numbers in the 1920s and 1930s, which troubles every position and makes it difficult to avoid picking more players from that era. . ..that problem is compounded by a legitimate concentration of the greatest first basemen ever in this era.    Foxx, Gehrig, Greenberg, Mize.  ..I don’t care what you do to normalize their numbers; those guys are good.    Top seasons not included in the list above include Jim Bottomley in 1928, Lou Gehrig in 1928, 1932 and 1937, Bill Terry in his .400 season in 1930, Jimmie Foxx in 1930, 1934 and 1936, Greenberg in ’35 and ’38, Johnny Mize in 1939, 1940 and 1947, Todd Helton in 2001 and 2003, and recent seasons by Jason Giambi, Mark McGwire, Albert Pujols, Carlos Delgado and Derrek Lee.

            Dick Allen in ’72 doesn’t have the numbers of many of the hitters left off the list, but the American League ERA was very low that season, and Allen dominated the league.   There are numerous first basemen/MVPs who don’t make the list and really aren’t close to making the list, like Frank McCormick in 1940, George Burns in 1926 and Boog Powell in 1970.  

            Second Base.  These are the second basemen who represent the top 1%. . .. I think I’ll list these chronologically, just to screw with the anal-retentive instincts of people who like consistency:

 

Player

YEAR

G

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Hardy Richardson

1887

120

131

178

25

18

8

94

31

29

.328

.366

.484

.851

Bobby Lowe

1894

133

158

212

34

11

17

115

50

23

.346

.401

.520

.921

Nap Lajoie

1901

131

145

232

48

14

14

125

24

27

.426

.463

.643

1.106

Nap Lajoie

1904

140

92

208

49

15

5

102

27

29

.376

.413

.546

.959

Nap Lajoie

1910

159

94

227

51

7

4

76

60

26

.384

.445

.514

.960

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eddie Collins

1912

153

137

189

25

11

0

64

101

63

.348

.450

.435

.885

Eddie Collins

1913

148

125

184

23

13

3

73

85

55

.345

.441

.453

.894

Eddie Collins

1914

152

122

181

23

14

2

85

97

58

.344

.452

.452

.904

Eddie Collins

1920

153

117

224

38

13

3

76

69

19

.372

.438

.493

.932

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rogers Hornsby

1922

154

141

250

46

14

42

152

65

17

.401

.459

.722

1.181

Rogers Hornsby

1924

143

121

227

43

14

25

94

89

5

.424

.507

.696

1.203

Rogers Hornsby

1925

138

133

203

41

10

39

143

83

5

.403

.489

.756

1.245

Rogers Hornsby

1929

156

156

229

47

8

39

149

87

2

.380

.459

.679

1.139

Charlie Gehringer

1934

154

134

214

50

7

11

127

99

11

.356

.450

.517

.967

Charlie Gehringer

1936

154

144

227

60

12

15

116

83

4

.354

.431

.555

.987

Joe Gordon

1948

144

96

154

21

4

32

124

77

5

.280

.371

.507

.878

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jackie Robinson

1949

156

122

203

38

12

16

124

86

37

.342

.432

.528

.960

Schoendienst

1953

146

107

193

35

5

15

79

60

3

.342

.405

.502

.907

Pete Rose

1965

162

117

209

35

11

11

81

69

8

.312

.382

.446

.828

Joe Morgan

1972

149

122

161

23

4

16

73

115

58

.292

.417

.435

.851

Joe Morgan

1975

146

107

163

27

6

17

94

132

67

.327

.466

.508

.974

Joe Morgan

1976

141

113

151

30

5

27

111

114

60

.320

.444

.576

1.020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ryne Sandberg

1984

156

114

200

36

19

19

84

52

32

.314

.367

.520

.887

Ryne Sandberg

1990

155

116

188

30

3

40

100

50

25

.306

.354

.559

.913

Craig Biggio

1997

162

146

191

37

8

22

81

84

47

.309

.415

.501

.916

Chase Utley

2006

160

131

203

40

4

32

102

63

15

.309

.379

.527

.906

 

            A lot of people would include on the list Ross Barnes in 1876, who hit .426 by bunting into foul territory, or Fred Dunlap in 1884, hitting .412 in what is really a minor league.   I don’t have much interest in those guys, but I would have liked to find a spot for Bid McPhee and/or Cupid Childs.   McPhee had 16 good seasons but no great ones.  Eddie Collins was really consistent, but Eddie Collins was consistent at .340.  McPhee was consistent at .285, and there were probably more runs scored in McPhee’s era than Collins’.

            Frankie Frisch was a great player and there should be a place for him on the list, but I just didn’t know who to kick off; Hardy Richardson, maybe, but if I’m going to ignore the 19th century then I need to cut down the number of players who make up the top one percent, so that doesn’t really work, either.

            Tony Lazzeri has good numbers, but it took a lot of runs to win a game in his era.  Not saying Joe Gordon was better than Lazzeri, but Gordon in 1948 was better than Lazzeri in any one season, I think.   Buddy Myer in ’35 had 215 hits, drove in 100 runs, scored 115 runs and won the batting title in a park with a Park Run Index of 88.   Billy Herman twice hit 57 doubles and had about 300 hits.

            Bobby Grich in ’79 is comparable to Joe Gordon in ’48.  Jeff Kent was very comparable to Chase Utley with the bat, and he could be on the list, but Utley is a much better glove than Kent was.    I have observed before that Robby Alomar is very much like Frankie Frisch, and he is like him in this way, too, that there should be a place for Alomar on the list, if Hornsby and Eddie Collins didn’t have so many years as dominant players.

            Johnny Evers was NL MVP in 1914 and Nellie Fox the AL MVP in 1959; those guys were extremely good, but I think they’re about the 96th percentile.    Bret Boone had big numbers in our recent big numbers era.   Obviously I’d like to have Pedroia on the list, and he was an MVP, too, but. . .was he really better than Schoendienst in ’53?    It could be that he was, but I went with the redhead.

            The general point is that there are an awful lot of really good seasons that won’t fit on the list.   Third base is a pleasant exception, because we don’t have a bunch of third basemen in the 1920-1939 era hitting .420 with 65 stolen bases and stuff.   This enables us to play a little bit of catch-up on behalf of the other eras:

 

Player

YEAR

G

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Lave Cross

1894

119

204

34

9

7

125

29

21

.386

.421

.524

.944

Bill Joyce

1894

99

126

25

14

17

89

87

21

.355

.496

.648

1.143

John McGraw

1899

117

156

13

3

1

33

124

73

.391

.547

.446

.994

Jimmy Williams

1899

152

219

28

27

9

116

60

26

.355

.417

.532

.949

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jimmy Collins

1901

138

187

42

16

6

94

34

19

.332

.375

.495

.870

HR Baker

1912

149

200

40

21

10

130

50

40

.347

.404

.541

.945

H Zimmerman

1912

145

207

41

14

14

99

38

23

.372

.418

.571

.989

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Al Rosen

1953

155

201

27

5

43

145

85

8

.336

.422

.613

1.034

Eddie Mathews

1953

157

175

31

8

47

135

99

1

.302

.406

.627

1.033

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brooks Robinson

1964

163

194

35

3

28

118

51

1

.317

.368

.521

.889

Ron Santo

1964

161

185

33

13

30

114

86

3

.312

.398

.564

.962

H Killebrew

1969

162

153

20

2

49

140

145

8

.276

.427

.584

1.011

Tony Perez

1970

158

186

28

6

40

129

83

8

.317

.401

.589

.990

Joe Torre

1971

161

230

34

8

24

137

63

4

.363

.421

.555

.976

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Schmidt

1977

154

149

27

11

38

101

104

15

.274

.393

.574

.967

George Brett

1980

117

175

33

9

24

118

58

15

.390

.454

.664

1.118

Mike Schmidt

1980

150

157

25

8

48

121

89

12

.286

.380

.624

1.004

George Brett

1985

155

184

38

5

30

112

103

9

.335

.436

.585

1.022

Wade Boggs

1985

161

240

42

3

8

78

96

2

.368

.450

.478

.928

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jim Thome

1996

151

157

28

5

38

116

123

2

.311

.450

.612

1.062

Ken Caminiti

1996

146

178

37

2

40

130

78

11

.326

.408

.621

1.028

Chipper Jones

1999

157

181

41

1

45

110

126

25

.319

.441

.633

1.074

Albert Pujols

2001

161

194

47

4

37

130

69

1

.329

.403

.610

1.013

Adrian Beltre

2004

156

200

32

0

48

121

53

7

.334

.388

.629

1.017

Scott Rolen

2004

142

157

32

4

34

124

72

4

.314

.409

.598

1.007

Alex Rodriguez

2005

162

194

29

1

48

130

91

21

.321

.421

.610

1.031

 

            It is interesting the way you have exceptional seasons matching up cross-leagues here.   In 1912 Heinie Zimmerman led the National League in Home Runs and Batting Average, missing the triple crown by three RBI.   Home Run Baker tied for the American League lead in Home Runs, and led in RBI by 21.    Then there is nobody on our list until 1953, when we again have an American Leaguer—Al Rosen, who missed the Triple Crown by one point in batting average—and a National Leaguer, the 21-year old sensation Eddie Mathews, belting 47 homers and driving in 135.   Then we have another eleven-year gap until 1964, when the MVPs in both leagues were third basemen, Brooks Robinson and Ken Boyer.   Boyer didn’t make the list, but another NL third baseman did.   I don’t actually know whether Santo was better than Boyer in ’64, but his numbers were better and I decided to go with him.

            Then in 1980, of course, we have an MVP- and World Series matchup between the two greatest third basemen of all time, George Brett and some National League guy.   In 1996 we have the National League MVP, Ken Caminiti, against Jim Thome, posting the third-highest OPS at third base in baseball history (not counting Bill Joyce in 1894, who played only 99 games, or Schmidt in 1981, when nothing counts.)   Even when they are in the same league, the great seasons by third basemen align—Bill Joyce and Lave Cross in 1894, McGraw and Jimmy Williams in 1899, Brett and Boggs in 1985, Beltre and Rolen in 2004. 

            Now that I look at it, I’ve got some questionable selections here.   Bill Joyce was a fantastic hitter, but 1894 was a hitter’s year, his defense was not good and he played only 99 games.  Is he really a better pick than George Davis in 1893 or 1895, Jimmy Collins in 1897 or Bill Bradley in 1902?    We couldn’t find anybody to represent the 20s, 30s or 40s?   What about Pie Traynor, Stan Hack and Harlond Clift?    Killebrew in ’69, Doggie Perez in ’70, Joe Torre in ’71. ..what is this, the Bermuda Triangle of third basemen?    I know their hitting numbers were sensational, but none of them were true third basemen, and were those guys really better than Bob Elliot and Robin Ventura?

            I don’t know; they just popped to the top of my list.   At shortstop, again, we’re going to skip the 1920s:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Bill Dahlen

1894

121

32

14

15

107

76

42

.357

.444

.566

1.010

Hughie Jennings

1895

131

41

7

4

125

24

53

.386

.444

.512

.957

Hughie Jennings

1896

130

27

9

0

121

19

70

.401

.472

.488

.960

Honus Wagner

1901

140

37

11

6

126

53

49

.353

.416

.494

.910

Honus Wagner

1903

129

30

19

5

101

44

46

.355

.414

.518

.931

Honus Wagner

1905

147

32

14

6

101

54

57

.363

.427

.505

.932

Honus Wagner

1908

151

39

19

10

109

54

53

.354

.415

.542

.957

Honus Wagner

1909

137

39

10

5

100

66

35

.339

.420

.489

.909

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Arky Vaughan

1935

137

34

10

19

99

97

4

.385

.491

.607

1.098

Luke Appling

1936

138

31

7

6

128

85

10

.388

.473

.508

.981

Joe Cronin

1938

143

51

5

17

94

91

7

.325

.428

.536

.964

Lou Boudreau

1948

152

34

6

18

106

98

3

.355

.453

.534

.987

Vern Stephens

1949

155

31

2

39

159

101

2

.290

.391

.539

.930

Phil Rizzuto

1950

155

36

7

7

66

91

12

.324

.417

.439

.856

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ernie Banks

1958

154

23

11

47

129

52

4

.313

.366

.614

.980

Zoilo Versalles

1965

160

45

12

19

77

41

27

.273

.319

.462

.781

Robin Yount

1982

156

46

12

29

114

54

14

.331

.379

.578

.957

Cal Ripken

1983

162

47

2

27

102

58

0

.318

.371

.517

.888

Ozzie Smith

1987

158

40

4

0

75

89

43

.303

.392

.383

.775

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alex Rodriguez

1996

146

54

1

36

123

59

15

.358

.414

.631

1.045

Derek Jeter

1999

158

37

9

24

102

91

19

.349

.437

.552

.989

Nomah

1999

135

42

4

27

104

51

14

.357

.418

.603

1.022

Alex Rodriguez

2000

148

34

2

41

132

100

15

.316

.420

.606

1.026

Alex Rodriguez

2001

162

34

1

52

135

75

18

.318

.399

.622

1.021

Alex Rodriguez

2002

162

27

2

57

142

87

9

.300

.392

.623

1.015

Alex Rodriguez

2003

161

30

6

47

118

87

17

.298

.396

.600

.995

 

            Phil Rizzuto in 1950. . .are we pandering to Yankee fans now?   (I have to argue with myself because I don’t pay any attention to anybody else.)   Boudreau and Gordon from the ’48 Indians?

            I don’t think I had noticed before how similar Joe Cronin’s numbers in 1938 were to Pedroia’s last year.   Cronin hit .325 with 51 doubles, 17 homers; Pedroia hit .326 with 54 and 17.    Same park.   4.79 League ERA in 1938, 4.35 last year.   This may be an argument that I should have picked Pedroia.

            Zoilo Versalles in ’65 has the lowest on-base percentage of anyone in the top one percent at any position (.319), but I’ll stand by it.  Somebody has to be on the bottom of every list.  The league on base percentage in 1965 was .311.   Zorro had 76 extra base hits, stole 27 bases and scored 126 runs for a team that won 102 games.   Dick Groat won the MVP Award for the Pirates in 1960, and Maury Wills for the Dodgers in 1962, when he stole a then-quasi-record 104 bases.   I think you have to take Versalles.   Wills scored 130 runs for a team that scored 842 runs and didn’t win the pennant.   Versalles scored 126 for a team that scored 774 and did win the pennant.  Versalles drove in 60% more runs and made eight fewer outs, and I think he was probably a better defensive shortstop.  

            A-Rod has made the list six times, five at shortstop and once at third base.   Wagner made it five times at shortstop and almost made it once at third base; his 1899 season, when he played 75 games at third base and no shortstop, was one of the last cuts at third base.   Ernie Banks in 1959 drove in 143 runs, won a Gold Glove at short and won the MVP Award—and doesn’t make the list.   I used to think that was the greatest year by a shortstop ever, but it isn’t.   Miguel Tejada drove in 150 runs one year; he doesn’t make it.   A-Rod one year hit 42 homers and stole 46 bases; that year doesn’t crack the top 1%.   Marty Marion, Barry Larkin and Jimmy Rollins had MVP seasons that are probably in the second 1%.

The shortstops who did make the list averaged .339 with 22 homers, 111 RBI, 119 runs scored, 37 doubles, 25 steals and a .956 OPS.  Those are good numbers, but they wouldn’t come close to making the left fielders’ top 1% list.    Ted Williams would sneeze at those numbers:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Tip O'Neill

1887

124

52

19

14

123

50

30

.435

.490

.691

1.180

Ed Delahanty

1896

123

44

17

13

126

62

37

.397

.472

.631

1.103

Sherry Magee

1910

154

39

17

6

123

94

49

.331

.445

.507

.952

Babe Ruth

1919

130

34

12

29

114

101

7

.322

.456

.657

1.114

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ken Williams

1922

153

34

11

39

155

74

37

.332

.413

.627

1.040

Lefty O'Doul

1929

154

35

6

32

122

76

2

.398

.465

.622

1.087

Al Simmons

1930

138

41

16

36

165

39

9

.381

.423

.708

1.130

Joe Medwick

1937

156

56

10

31

154

41

4

.374

.414

.641

1.056

Greenberg

1940

148

50

8

41

150

93

6

.340

.433

.670

1.103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ted Williams

1941

143

33

3

37

120

147

2

.406

.553

.735

1.287

Ted Williams

1942

150

34

5

36

137

145

3

.356

.499

.648

1.147

Ted Williams

1946

150

37

8

38

123

156

0

.342

.497

.667

1.164

Ted Williams

1949

155

39

3

43

159

162

1

.343

.490

.650

1.141

Ralph Kiner

1949

152

19

5

54

127

117

6

.310

.432

.658

1.089

Ted Williams

1957

132

28

1

38

87

119

0

.388

.526

.731

1.257

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yastrzemski

1967

161

31

4

44

121

91

10

.326

.418

.622

1.040

Yastrzemski

1970

161

29

0

40

102

128

23

.329

.452

.592

1.044

Billy Williams

1970

161

34

4

42

129

72

7

.322

.391

.586

.977

Willie Stargell

1973

148

43

3

44

119

80

0

.299

.392

.646

1.038

George Foster

1977

158

31

2

52

149

61

6

.320

.382

.631

1.013

Jim Rice

1978

163

25

15

46

139

58

7

.315

.370

.600

.970

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Barry Bonds

1993

159

38

4

46

123

126

29

.336

.458

.677

1.136

Albert Belle

1995

143

52

1

50

126

73

5

.317

.401

.690

1.091

Barry Bonds

2001

153

32

2

73

137

177

13

.328

.515

.863

1.379

Barry Bonds

2002

143

31

2

46

110

198

9

.370

.678

.799

1.477

Barry Bonds

2004

147

27

3

45

101

232

6

.362

.609

.812

1.422

 

            Musial’s absence from this list will be explained shortly.   Every player on this list hit .300 except Willie Stargell, who hit .299 with 43 doubles and 44 homers.   All of them drove in 100 runs except Ted Williams in 1957, when he hit .388.    All of them had a 1.000 OPS except Sherry Magee and two guys from the 1970s.

            Needless to say, the list of MVP Left Fielders who don’t make our list is long and impressive.   Hank Sauer won the MVP Award in 1952; he might clock in about the 90th percentile, although I suppose he could be higher.   Left field probably has the best numbers of any position in this survey, averaging .349 with 39 homers, 129 RBI.   OPS:  1.132.    Ed Delahanty in 1899 hit .410 with 55 doubles, 137 RBI.   Didn’t have room for him in the top 1%.   Al Simmons in 1930 hit .365 with 157 RBI; in 1931 he hit .390.   Shut out.  

            The toughest season to cut among center fielders—I’ll start on the other end of the discussion—the last cut was Earl Averill in 1936.   Averill had 232 hits including 39 doubles, 15 triples, 28 homers and drove in 126 runs.  His average was .378.   What don’t you like about this?  

            The league ERA was 5.04 and the Park Run Index was 113.   Logically, I know that Jim Edmonds in 2004 was better, but it’s hard to leave a season like that out of the group:

           

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Pete Browning

1887

134

35

16

4

0

55

103

.402

.464

.547

1.011

Hugh Duffy

1894

125

51

16

18

145

66

48

.440

.502

.694

1.196

Billy Hamilton

1894

129

25

15

4

87

126

98

.404

.523

.528

1.050

Jake Stenzel

1894

131

39

20

13

121

75

61

.354

.441

.580

1.022

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cy Seymour

1905

149

40

21

8

121

51

21

.377

.429

.559

.988

Ty Cobb

1911

146

47

24

8

127

44

83

.420

.467

.621

1.088

Tris Speaker

1912

153

53

12

10

90

82

52

.383

.464

.567

1.031

Ty Cobb

1912

140

30

23

7

83

43

61

.409

.456

.584

1.040

Tris Speaker

1923

150

59

11

17

130

93

10

.380

.469

.610

1.079

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hack Wilson

1930

155

35

6

56

191

105

3

.356

.454

.723

1.177

Joe DiMaggio

1937

151

35

15

46

167

64

3

.346

.412

.673

1.085

Joe DiMaggio

1939

120

32

6

30

126

52

3

.381

.448

.671

1.119

Joe DiMaggio

1941

139

43

11

30

125

76

4

.357

.440

.643

1.083

Joe DiMaggio

1948

153

26

11

39

155

67

1

.320

.396

.598

.994

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duke Snider

1953

153

38

4

42

126

82

16

.336

.419

.627

1.046

Duke Snider

1954

149

39

10

40

130

84

6

.341

.423

.647

1.071

Willie Mays

1954

151

33

13

41

110

66

8

.345

.411

.667

1.078

Willie Mays

1955

152

18

13

51

127

79

24

.319

.400

.659

1.059

Mickey Mantle

1956

150

22

5

52

130

112

10

.353

.464

.705

1.169

Mickey Mantle

1957

144

28

6

34

94

146

16

.365

.512

.665

1.177

Mickey Mantle

1961

153

16

6

54

128

126

12

.317

.448

.687

1.135

Willie Mays

1962

162

36

5

49

141

78

18

.304

.384

.615

.999

Willie Mays

1965

157

21

3

52

112

76

9

.317

.398

.645

1.043

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rickey Henderson

1985

143

28

5

24

72

99

80

.314

.419

.516

.934

Ken Griffey Jr.

1997

157

34

3

56

147

76

15

.304

.382

.646

1.028

Jim Edmonds

2004

153

38

3

42

111

101

8

.301

.418

.643

1.061

 

            Kirby Puckett gets left out; I maybe should have included Kirby in 1988 (234 hits, .356 average, 42 doubles, 24 homers, 121 RBI) rather than Jake Stenzel.   Kirby drew 23 walks and was 6-for-13 as a base stealer.   Ty Cobb makes our list only twice, as opposed to 5-7 listings for the comparable superstars like Mays, Ted Williams, Gehrig and Barry Bonds.   Maybe I’m wrong, I don’t know; could be I should have given more consideration to the dead ball era players.    Joe DiMaggio makes the list four times, Griffey only once; maybe I’m a closet Yankee fan.   I don’t think so; I think I’d have noticed before now.

            Babe Ruth makes the 1% list eight times—once in left field, seven times in right:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Sam Thompson

1887

127

29

23

11

166

32

22

.372

.416

.571

.987

Sam Thompson

1895

119

45

21

18

165

31

27

.392

.430

.654

1.085

Willie Keeler

1897

129

27

19

0

74

35

64

.424

.464

.539

1.003

Sam Crawford

1901

131

20

16

16

104

37

13

.330

.378

.524

.903

Joe Jackson

1911

147

45

19

7

83

56

41

.408

.468

.590

1.058

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Babe Ruth

1920

142

36

9

54

137

150

14

.376

.532

.847

1.379

Babe Ruth

1921

152

44

16

59

171

145

17

.378

.512

.846

1.359

Harry Heilmann

1923

144

44

11

18

115

74

8

.403

.481

.632

1.113

Babe Ruth

1923

152

45

13

41

131

170

17

.393

.545

.764

1.309

Babe Ruth

1924

153

39

7

46

121

142

9

.378

.513

.739

1.252

Babe Ruth

1926

152

30

5

47

146

144

11

.372

.516

.737

1.253

Babe Ruth

1927

151

29

8

60

164

137

7

.356

.486

.772

1.258

Chuck Klein

1929

149

45

6

43

145

54

5

.356

.407

.657

1.065

Mel Ott

1929

150

37

2

42

151

113

6

.328

.449

.635

1.084

Babe Herman

1930

153

48

11

35

130

66

18

.393

.455

.678

1.132

Chuck Klein

1930

156

59

8

40

170

54

4

.386

.436

.687

1.123

Babe Ruth

1931

145

31

3

46

163

128

5

.373

.494

.700

1.194

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stan Musial

1948

155

46

18

39

131

79

7

.376

.450

.702

1.152

Stan Musial

1949

157

41

13

36

123

107

3

.338

.438

.624

1.062

Hank Aaron

1957

151

27

6

44

132

57

1

.322

.378

.600

.978

Hank Aaron

1959

154

46

7

39

123

51

8

.355

.401

.636

1.037

Roger Maris

1961

161

16

4

61

142

94

0

.269

.372

.620

.993

Frank Robinson

1962

162

51

2

39

136

76

18

.342

.421

.624

1.045

Frank Robinson

1966

155

34

2

49

122

87

8

.316

.410

.637

1.047

Clemente

1966

154

31

11

29

119

46

7

.317

.360

.536

.896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sammy Sosa

2001

160

34

5

64

160

116

0

.328

.437

.737

1.174

 

            The toughest call on that list, actually, was Maris—Maris over players with higher OPS, more speed, more RBI, Maris over Tony Gwynn and Vladimir and Reggie Jackson and Paul Waner and Al Kaline and Ichiro, none of whom will make the top 1% even once in their Hall of Fame careers.   Maris over Cobb in the three years that Ty Cobb played right field and won the batting title.   Yep, that confirms it; James is a closet Yankee fan. 

            Maris had a good year, and it’s a special year in baseball history, and I decided to go with it.   Stan Musial doesn’t make the list in left field, but he makes it once at first base and twice in right field.   He had a lot of years playing 50 games at first, 45 in center, 45 in right.   It’s hard to say what his position is, in his best years.

            From 1957 to 1966 seven right fielders won MVP Awards (Aaron in ’57, Jackie Jensen in ’58, Maris in ’60 and ’61, Frank Robinson in ’61 and ’66, Clemente in ’66.)    Tony Oliva didn’t win one, but could have won two.    There are still a lot of tremendous right fielders around now—Ichiro, Vladimir, Markakis—but they don’t win many MVP Awards.   

            You want Designated Hitters?   The Dee Aitch has been around since 1973, mostly in a 14-team league, so that’s about 500 teams that have had the DH, just short of 500.   We’ll pick five Designated Hitters, who are:

 

Player

YEAR

G

2B

3B

HR

RBI

BB

SB

Avg

OBA

SPct

OPS

Edgar Martinez

1995

145

52

0

29

113

116

4

.356

.479

.628

1.107

Rafael Palmeiro

1999

158

30

1

47

148

97

2

.324

.420

.630

1.050

Frank Thomas

2000

159

44

0

43

143

112

1

.328

.436

.625

1.061

David Ortiz

2005

159

40

1

47

148

102

1

.300

.397

.604

1.001

David Ortiz

2006

151

29

2

54

137

119

1

.287

.413

.636

1.049

 

            Going to skip the starting pitchers, as I warned you earlier, but I will choose Relief Aces.   “Relief Aces” became “Closers” in the 1980s.    Early baseball teams, pre-1920, didn’t have bullpens at all, and many or most teams from 1920 to 1950 had bullpens whose chief duty was to run out the clock.   How many teams have had actual relief aces?

            It’s hard to say.  I started with 1800 teams, but couldn’t eliminate a reliever, so decided that 1900 teams would have been a better number.   Modern teams, of course, have many relievers pitching 60-75 games a season, so it is not clear to what group the “one percent” applies.  In any case, my list of the 99th percentile relief aces is as follows:

 

First

Last

Year

G

W

L

IP

SO

BB

Saves

ERA

Luis

Arroyo

1961

65

15

5

119

87

49

29

2.19

Ron

Perranoski

1963

69

16

3

129

75

43

21

1.67

Dick

Radatz

1963

66

15

6

132

162

51

25

1.98

Dick

Radatz

1964

79

16

9

157

181

58

29

2.29

Phil

Regan

1966

65

14

1

117

88

24

21

1.62

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

John

Hiller

1973

65

10

5

125

124

39

38

1.44

Jim

Kern

1979

71

13

5

143

136

62

29

1.57

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dan

Quisenberry

1983

69

5

3

139

48

11

45

1.94

Willie

Hernandez

1984

80

9

3

140

112

36

32

1.92

Bruce

Sutter

1984

71

5

7

123

77

23

45

1.54

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dennis

Eckersley

1990

63

4

2

73

73

4

48

0.61

Bobby

Thigpen

1990

77

4

6

89

70

32

57

1.83

Dennis

Eckersley

1992

69

7

1

80

93

11

51

1.91

John

Wetteland

1993

70

9

3

85

113

28

43

1.37

Trevor

Hoffman

1998

66

4

2

73

86

21

53

1.48

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eric

Gagne

2002

77

4

1

82

114

16

52

1.97

Keith

Foulke

2003

72

9

1

87

88

20

43

2.08

Eric

Gagne

2003

77

2

3

82

137

20

55

1.20

Mariano

Rivera

2004

74

4

2

79

66

20

53

1.94

 

            There are tremendous relievers before 1961, of course—Wilhelm and Joe Black in ’52, Elroy Face in ’59.   Jim Konstanty in 1950 won the MVP Award.  He’s just like all the other MVPs who don’t make the top 1%; he was great, but he’s in the 98th percentile.   Konstanty had a 2.66 ERA.   The worst ERA on this list was 2.29, and 84% of these guys are under 2.00.

            OK, that’s my list.    As I say, we’re really not to the point yet at which we can identify the top 1% with a high degree of reliability.  We’ll get there.  The right questions are always more important than the right answers.    If you get the answers wrong you can fix that.   If you don’t find the right question, you’ve got nothing.

 
 

COMMENTS (12 Comments, most recent shown first)

glkanter
Tom noted that "I'm not sure how much of this is down to the decisions made in that last two or three slots at each position, but every HOF eligible player with at least two seasons listed here is in the HOF."

Joe Torre caught my eye for being on the list as a catcher and 3rd baseman.
12:48 PM Nov 15th
 
jdw
Bill - was wondering while reading this why WS-LS wasn't used, or added.
2:45 AM Oct 22nd
 
ventboys
I wouldn't just assume that Ozzie didn't belong. Just because defense tends to average out to a less significant factor overall, Ozzie was several standard deviations from the norm. I agree that Trammell, as usual, is forgotten in the discussion. He was clearly, in my mind, the MVP that year.
1:15 AM Sep 11th
 
Brian
Ozzie Smith in 1987 doesn't belong here because he was not even the best shortstop in 1987 - Trammell was. Trammell's numbers are very similar to the average player on the list. Since Ripken and Yount had better years in the 1980's, I could live without Trammell on the list, but please, not Ozzie Smith 1987.
12:30 PM Sep 8th
 
danup
Bill, your disinterest in the NA/early NL is probably justified, but for what it's worth recent scholarship has discredited (or at least marginalized) the idea that Ross Barnes's sudden drop-off in production could be mostly attributed to the fair-foul bunt rule.

He was, in his time, considered a very hard hitter, not a "scientific" type; his loss of talent coincided with a fever that caused him to miss most of 1877.
2:41 PM Sep 5th
 
Tracy
One minor quibble - Ed Delahanty was not a first baseman in 1895. Sub in Dan Brouthers' best season (probably 1886) and it's all good.
12:02 PM Sep 5th
 
tjmaccarone
I'm not sure how much of this is down to the decisions made in that last two or three slots at each position, but every HOF eligible player with at least two seasons listed here is in the HOF.

7:04 AM Sep 5th
 
ventboys
I'm kinda with Richie on that one. Mike Marshall was pretty incredible in several years, not just 1974. It's a tough standard, obviously.
3:04 AM Sep 5th
 
elricsi
One thing you have to be careful with is expansion years. The sudden influx of AAA pitchers decentralizes stats for a year or 2. Notice how there are a lot of players up there from 1977, 1998 and 1999. (Not so much from the 60's since the batting stats look so superficially weak, but when you normalize even 61, 62, 69 and 70 have the 10th best guy in the league with great stats.)

I wonder if it might help to pair some positions 1b/3b, lf/rf, etc. and then the larger list may balance better.
1:44 AM Sep 5th
 
ventboys
Evan, that list has been published, or rather those lists have, in the new BJHA. IS that what you meant? I probably misread your intent.

I don't personally have much to say but that I am reminded of just how terrific it is to have this site. I get this kind of stuff, from Bill himself, for 3 bucks a month?

It's the best deal on the internet for a baseball fan, just incredible.
12:06 AM Sep 5th
 
Richie
Mie Marshall's relief season ('74, I believe) didn't make it??
6:34 PM Sep 4th
 
evanecurb
I like the question and the way in which it's presented. I am less intereted in seeing a list of the 26 best seasons at each position than I am in seeing the 26 best players at each position, based on career performance. Seems like you could use win shares or some derivative of win shares to assign a percentile ranking to each player in history.

4:57 PM Sep 4th
 
 
©2024 Be Jolly, Inc. All Rights Reserved.|Powered by Sports Info Solutions|Terms & Conditions|Privacy Policy