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Lasik (Part II)

October 24, 2008

This is a follow-up to my brief look at the effects of Lasik surgery on hitting. Going at this from a bit of a different angle this time… There were eleven players in the study who played regularly (400+ PA) in both the Before and After seasons. I took those eleven and identified the most-comparable player in baseball in the Before season. This created a control group against which I could compare the Lasik group. It’s a very flawed study with a tiny sample size, but heck, it’s better than nothing.

I’ll list the players and their comps, and then I’ll present the findings. (Hint: This basically confirmed my initial study.)

Greg Vaughn, age 31, hit .216/.322/.393 in 422 PA.

Jeff Conine, age 31, hit .242/.337/.405 in 466 PA.

 

Al Martin, age 30, hit .239/.296/.364 in 479 PA.

Ed Sprague, age 30, hit .222/.280/.403 in 510 PA.

 

Jose Cruz Jr., age 25, hit .241/.358/.433 in 414 PA.

Greg Norton, age 26, hit .255/.358/.424 in 510  PA.

 

Bernie Williams, age 30, hit .342/.435/.536 in 697 PA.

Roberto Alomar, age 31, hit .323/.422/.533 in 694 PA.

 

Jeff Bagwell, age 31, hit .304/.454/.591 in 729 PA.

Rafael Palmeiro, age 34, hit .324/.420/.630 in 674 PA.

(As you can see, there were no good comps for Bagwell that year.)

 

Trot Nixon, age 25, hit .270/.357/.472 in 447 PA.

Ben Grieve, age 23, hit .265/.358/.481 in 558 PA.

 

Larry Walker, age 35, hit .338/.421/.602 in 553 PA.

Jim Edmonds, age 32, hit .311/.420/.561 in 576 PA.

 

Rocco Baldelli, age 21, hit .289/.326/.416 in 684 PA.

Sean Burroughs, age 22, hit .286/.352/.402 in 578 PA.

 

Rich Aurilia, age 31, hit .277/.325/.410 in 545 PA.

Todd Walker, age 30, hit .283/.333/.428 in 647 PA.

 

Michael Young, age 27, hit .313/.353/.483 in 739 PA.

Mark Kotsay, age 28, hit .314/.370/.459 in 673 PA.

 

Jhonny Peralta, age 24, hit .257/.323/.385 in 632 PA.

Hank Blalock, age 25, hit .266/.325/.401 in 646 PA.

 

Obviously, not all of these comps are perfect. But taken together, the match is pretty darned good. The group averages for Year 1:

 

Age

PA

AB

H

Avg

OBP

SLG

ISP

ISD

SO

BB

K:BB

Lasik

28.2

576

506

145

.286

.365

.466

.180

.080

101

62

1.62

Control

28.4

594

518

147

.283

.364

.468

.185

.081

89

64

1.39

The Control group batted a few more times and struck out less often, but otherwise, the two groups are virtually identical. Now for Year 2: 

 

Age

PA

AB

H

Avg

OBP

SLG

ISP

ISD

SO

BB

K:BB

Lasik

29.2

612

535

151

.283

.365

.498

.215

.082

103

66

1.57

Control

29.4

506

446

126

.282

.358

.474

.192

.076

74

50

1.47

The most obvious difference here is playing time – the Lasik group had over 100 more plate appearances, on average, than their Control counterparts. This is largely attributable to Jeff Conine, Greg Norton, and Hank Blalock, all of whom had fewer than 350 PA in Year 2. I don’t think we can blame that on Lasik.

Anyway, the batting averages and on-base percentages hold steady for both groups, and again are very close matches. But slugging – and more specifically, isolated power – is where the big difference lies. The Lasik group added 35 points of isolated power, while the Control group added just 7. In my original study, the biggest year-to-year change was in isolated power, but I’ve wondered whether that might have been a natural rise, due to increased power with age, or something. The Control group does see a small rise in power, but it’s nothing compared to the spike in the Lasik group.

The other difference of note is in strikeout-to-walk ratio. The Lasik group marginally improved their K:BB, but the Control group got a bit worse.

All of this flies in the face of intuition. I would have assumed that Lasik, with its improved vision, would result in better pitch recognition and thus more walks (and fewer strikeouts), as well as a higher batting average. But my two studies reveal a striking year-to-year consistency in both batting average and walks, and instead, a jump in power. Given the small sample sizes involved, I’m hesitant to come to any conclusions. This study does bolster a bit the findings of my previous one, though – that Lasik surgery seems to affect nothing except for isolated power.

 
 

COMMENTS (8 Comments, most recent shown first)

tampabob
Maybe we haven't seen a walks/strikeout Lasik effect because umpires are still seeing the strike zone the old fashioned way? If Lasik does indeed enhance isolated power, its use should rapidly spread as players and teams attempt to gain a (temporary) competitive advantage. One sign of this development would be that certain teams would end up with a disproportionate number of players who underwent Lasik, perhaps indicating their organization's belief in Lasik's effectiveness.
2:34 PM Feb 1st
 
enamee
I just saw Ron's question from January 3. I'm afraid I don't have an answer for you. I actually know next-to-nothing about Lasik surgery. My interest was whether there was an identifiable "before and after" effect vis-a-vis offensive performance.

Obviously, this whole subject is worth a more thorough study by someone who knows a lot more than I do. I did my studies simply because nobody else seems to be looking at this stuff.
1:03 PM Jan 29th
 
Ron
More of a question than a comment: Ive been very curious about this for years. And I have a few questions for Mr. Namme. #1 are the players required to have an eye exam every year... If so and they need lasex or glasses, are they mandated by the club... It has always seemed to me that a career in jeopardy due to age could easily be prolonged by this 1 simple issue.( mandating lasik surgery or eyeware )
1:54 PM Jan 3rd
 
jdrb
For what it's worth, this study matches my experience. A former college player, I was playing in decent amateur leagues at 40, when I had lasik. BA and OBP did not change significantly the next few years, but SA took a huge jump at a time when my real skills should have been in major decline.
Why? Perhaps the placebo effect mentioned by one reader. But it did feel like I was recognizing the pitch sooner and therefore able to take a more aggressive swing as opposed to my lifetime habit of just putting it in play. Interesting study, thanks.
7:09 PM Dec 4th
 
mskarpelos
I had LASIK surgery myself last year. I'm 48 now (born September 1960), so LASIK wasn't available when I was playing baseball in my teenage years. I can therefore only speculate how the surgery would have affected my playing ability. I had very severe nearsightedness (-9.25 diopters in one eye and -8.75 in the other), and I noticed that the very thick lenses would make breaking pitches appear to break far more than they did in reality. By the time I was 15, any right handed pitcher with even a passable slider could get me out. (I was right handed, so lefties didn't bother me so much. My weak eye was the right eye, however, so switch hitting wasn't really an option, although I did switch hit against righties when playing wiffleball.) Had LASIK been available to me at the time, I'm sure I would have been able to wait on breaking pitches much more effectively. After LASIK, my vision isn't quite perfect; I have a very mild -1.25 diopter correction, so I can drive at night without the help of corrective lenses, but to hit a baseball consistently, I would opt for corrective lenses. My guess is that most major league hitters don't have anywhere near the correction that I had, but it would be instructive if we knew what their prescription was/is before/after LASIK when evaluating their post-LASIK performance. This is a very worthy topic if we can get more extensive data. Good work, Mr. Namee.
4:19 PM Oct 30th
 
chuck
I read that Omar Vizquel had Lasik surgery done after this season. Look for more power from him next year.
2:41 PM Oct 25th
 
enamee
Thanks for the kind words, Richie.
10:49 PM Oct 24th
 
Richie
Very informative. Thanks, Matthew.
5:54 PM Oct 24th
 
 
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