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Fast Starts

December 8, 2008
          I know that everyone is focusing in on the Winter Meetings, but I think a sports site would be remiss if it didn’t mention what was happening around the other major sports, in this case basketball and hockey specifically.

            In the NBA, three teams are currently performing at a .850 or better clip, with the Cavaliers, Lakers and Celtics on pace to win 69.7, 73.4 and 74.5, respectively. The record for most wins in a season is 72, put up by the 1995-96 Bulls. No other team has ever won 70 (those same Bulls won 69 the following year, as did the ’71-’72 Lakers). Keep in mind that the season is approximately one-quarter completed, and that all three play in divisions where they are the only team which has scored more points than it has allowed (much like in baseball, this is more predictive of the team’s future performance than their actual record). The chances are small that any of them get to 72, but I wouldn’t be surprised if one or two of them makes a run at 70.

            In the NHL, an even more ridiculous story is slowly unfolding, as the San Jose Sharks currently reside atop their conference at  22-3-2, which includes a flawless 14-0-2 home record. Only three other teams in the league have 18 wins (classic Detroit-Boston-NY Rangers trio). I don’t think anyone is going to be comparing the Sharks to the ‘76-’77 Canadiens anytime soon (or at least I hope not), but this sort of domination in a sport that just wrecks players is extremely rare. Especially when your goalie is sporting a Save Percentage under .900. This puts Evgeni Nabokov in a tie for 35th place among goalies who have played at least 9 games this season. There are 30 teams in the NHL. If Nabokov regressed to even average performance, the Sharks might actually give the Canadiens and ‘95-’96 Red Wings a run for their money.

            A deeper question might be at which point we start tracking these numbers (if you are one of the 5 people in the world who like both the NBA and the NHL). My bet is that the NBA record becomes a big deal if any of the teams reach the All-Star Break with fewer than 6 -7 losses.* I doubt the NHL record will become a topic until the very last week of the season, if not the last game. What a difference 15 years makes.

 

* Like MLB, the NBA All-Star game comes closer to the 60-65% mark in games, so a great team would be 46-6 or something similar.
 
 

COMMENTS (9 Comments, most recent shown first)

demedici
I'm not a hockey purist by any means, and welcome the offensive explosion that the NHL has cultivated. If there is a single sport that HD television should have made popular, it's hockey. If somehow the sport had managed to hold on a few more years without destroying itself, I think that, on TV at least, the NHL would rival the NBA and be discussed and covered just as much. It just hurts a little bit every time I see otherwise
5:34 AM Dec 13th
 
schoolshrink
It would be cool to see the Blackhawks do well again. I began watching hockey regularly in 1980. I watched a little of the Lake Placid Olympics, and caught some of the buzz from the hockey team that year, but hockey was not that big of a deal then, in Spokane where I grew up. Hockey is huge there now, with the junior team winning a couple of championships and the Brett brothers running things. Anyway, at about that time we had cable T.V., and we watched sports shows (e.g., ESPN, CNN Sports) in their infancy. The USA Network used to broadcast hockey games, with Dan Kelly and Al Albert covering play by play. Gary Green was the color commentator, and he now works at TSN north of the border. That was great broadcasting. My favorite series of all time was Edmonton-Chicago in 1985. Murray Bannerman played the series of a lifetime in a losing effort. Edmonton that year was the best team I have seen. I never saw the Canadians of the late 1970's, or Bobby Orr's Bruins, and have no basis for comparison. But a goalie playing as well as Bannerman did that year can help almost any team win a championship. He just had the unfortunate task of trying to manage Gretsky, Kurri, Anderson, Messier, et. al., at their peak. It was a little bit like Stockton and Malone trying to stop Jordan and Pippen -- any other year or two and they probably would have had a ring.

Since you mentioned the Blackhawks, they got me thinking about how good it would be if they were to be competitive in the playoffs. There are fans everywhere, but hockey will never be a southern sport. It is a little tough to get enthusiastic about the championship teams in Anaheim, Dallas, Tampa Bay, and Raleigh, as we have had in the last decade. Chicago has not been competitive since they played in Chicago Stadium. Is that venue still around or did they blow it up? They also had a great organ there. The Blackhawks fans are great, but even they have grown tired of a perennial loser, as they should. Hockey would accomplish a lot if the original six, northern teams were good again. The Hawks should move back to Chicago Stadium, though, as that United Center looks pretty drab on T.V. Hockey could do a lot to improve its marketability, and looking good on television needs to be a part of that equation. But that can be tough to do when they play in such drab looking venues. Anyway, I will quit rambling. Like you, I am always up for good hockey talk.
7:49 PM Dec 11th
 
SeanKates
I know my uncle would very much like the Blackhawks to stop losing in OT...they've got the best goal differential in the West other than SJ (and third best overall after SJ and Boston), but are only tied for 6th in the conference in points (they have played 1-2 fewer games than most teams, which accounts for some of the difference, but also emphasizes how strong their GD, and thus play, has been).

As for Montreal, I like Price and I don't think too many of their players are performing above their station (maybe Markov a slight bit), so I expect them to be an extremely solid team from here on out. They don't do anything flashy (the D-man is leading the team in points, and he's tied for 45th in the league as of today), but they have a well-rounded lineup where everyone contributes, and they don't give away easy games.
10:53 AM Dec 10th
 
schoolshrink
On the opposite extreme are teams that play surprisingly well, that we might not expect. Since a Canadian team has not won the cup in fifteen years it would be easy to dismiss one of the teams north of the border, but I think Montreal looks as good as or better than their record. I watched them on Thursday against the Rangers and they dominated. They will have to stay healthy, of course, but the Habs treated that game as if it was the conference finals. I always think great teams do this: provide some indication in the season of what is to come. A season is too long for a teams' tendencies not to be exposed, which is fine as long as the team is good enough. No kidding, the Habs looked great. It will be fun to see if they can keep playing at that level.
9:22 PM Dec 9th
 
demedici
Actually, I agree with you about the Sharks. For a team that has such a gaudy record, they lack something in very close games, and despite this being a website devoted to objective measures and tactile answers, they just don't "feel" as good as they are supposed to be. Although the Oilers loss could also just be because Dwayne Roloson just simply owns the Sharks throughout his career. Still, I fear for Sharks fans if they're expecting a cakewalk to the Cup.

Also, "flawless" was clearly the wrong word. They've obviously lost two at home (including Saturday), but both came in OT, so they garnered points in the games. I even thought about it at the time, but the generic hockey phrases always sound awkward. Their "points-only" 14-0-2 record? Their "only partially blemished by terrible OT losses" 14-0-2 record? Yeah, bad word choice, especially since I expect there are some readers here who don't know how hockey scores are listed (or even that hockey does not have ties), and expects that listing to be the usual W-L-T from other sports, instead of the W-L-Overtime Losses that it is. All the same, good to know someone else here loves hockey.
6:25 AM Dec 9th
 
schoolshrink
I watched the first half of the Sharks - Oilers game on Saturday. Their home record is no longer flawless. The game was tied at one after the first period. Shots on goal: San Jose - 16, Edmonton - 1. Edmonton led 1-0 until 19:55 of the period and their defense gave up too soon. San Jose's problem was a lapse in concentration in their own zone: Devin Setogucci gave up the puck and the Oilers capitalized. For the game, the Sharks out shot the Oilers 43-17 including the 2-0 advantage Edmonton had in overtime shots. Why bring this up? I do not think championship caliber teams ever give away games. It was embarrassing that the Sharks even lost this game, but they lost composure and they gave up enough goals to cough up the game. They remind me of the 2001 Seattle Mariners. The M's played Cleveland in an August game when they led 14-0 after six innings and lost in the 9th 15-14, or maybe 16-15 ... whatever. Who cares if they eventually won 116 games; the Mariners blowing a lead like that suggested to me that this was a team with a personality flaw. Good teams eventually exploit those flaws. For the Sharks, the key will be to recognize what went wrong on Saturday night. They have played very well, but Edmonton clearly exposed a chink in the armor. That game should be studied by every other team in the league, and if the Sharks are smart they will go over it ad nauseum to be mindful of what went wrong. If they are not honest with themselves about this, they run the risk of being the Mariners: just one loss in what is otherwise a team that won 116 games. But at no time in the playoffs did they look like the best team, and the Yankees knew how to win under pressure. The Sharks will tread in uncharted territory if they should make it to the Stanley Cup finals, but they better deal with their problem with giveaways in the zone, and a goal tender who is not ready when they happen. I am reminded of how Vince Lombardi dealt with a chink in the armor after the 1962 Thanksgiving Day game against the Lions. Yes, the Lions once one, and that game was the only one that the Packers lost. Lombardi studied that game for months because he always understood that you learn more from your losses than your wins. For their sake, here's hoping the Sharks learn the same lesson.
11:02 PM Dec 8th
 
demedici
When we post the articles, we use the following day as the "Posting Date" because the emails that go out as notifications will collect all things posted for that day and send it at once. If we posted the articles with the correct date, people who have chosen the notifications would get a string of emails, perhaps a few each day depending on posting volume. It's probably not a big deal one way or another, but it was an executive decision to do it this way.
8:37 PM Dec 8th
 
Trailbzr
How come the articles and columns by the other authors are dated a day in advance?
7:31 PM Dec 8th
 
Richie
You really think there's 5 of you? Sure a couple of those aren't lying to you so as to salve your feelings?

;-)
4:06 PM Dec 8th
 
 
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