Poll Results 5-8-2019
These are the updated results of my Presidential tracking poll:
Position
|
First
|
Last
|
Current
|
Comment
|
1
|
Elizabeth
|
Warren
|
1068
|
|
2
|
Pete
|
Buttigieg
|
1057
|
|
3
|
Kamala
|
Harris
|
1050
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4
|
Joe
|
Biden
|
941
|
Up 11 as result of poll.
|
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
John
|
Kasich
|
626
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6
|
Donald
|
Trump
|
585
|
|
7
|
Bernie
|
Sanders
|
525
|
Up 11; technical re-evaluation
|
8
|
Beto
|
O'Rourke
|
518
|
Up 9; technical re-adjustment
|
|
|
|
|
|
9
|
John
|
Hickenlooper
|
457
|
Down 11, technical re-adjustment
|
|
|
|
|
|
10
|
Cory
|
Booker
|
396
|
|
11
|
Amy
|
Klobuchar
|
372
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12
|
Bill
|
Weld
|
277
|
|
13
|
Howard
|
Schultz
|
233
|
Up 4 as a result of poll.
|
14
|
Andrew
|
Yang
|
232
|
|
15
|
Julian
|
Castro
|
220
|
|
16
|
Kirsten
|
Gillibrand
|
213
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17
|
Tulsi
|
Gabbard
|
195
|
Up 6, technical re-evaluation
|
18
|
Jeff
|
Flake
|
187
|
|
19
|
Jay
|
Inslee
|
168
|
Up 36 after good poll results.
|
20
|
Tim
|
Ryan
|
163
|
Down 48 after terrible poll.
|
21
|
Eric
|
Swallwell
|
126
|
|
22
|
Michael
|
Bennet
|
113
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23
|
John
|
Delaney
|
74
|
|
24
|
Mike
|
Gravel
|
68
|
|
25
|
Seth
|
Moulton
|
68
|
|
26
|
Wayne
|
Messam
|
35
|
|
27
|
Marrianne
|
Williamson
|
33
|
|
If there is no comment, that means that the candidate’s number is within 3 points of what it was yesterday.
Today’s poll is Castro, O’Rourke, Flake and Gabbard. The predicted results based on the numbers above would be Castro, 20%, O’Rourke, 46%, Flake and Gabbard, 17% each. I wouldn’t give out that information if I thought it would influence the poll, but I assume the number of people who come here to read this is pretty limited, and most of you have already voted.
Tomorrow’s poll will match Kasich directly against Trump, with Bennet and Gravel the other two. Bennet should over-achieve in the poll, I would guess, since 60-65% of my respondents appear to be Democrats. This may give us a misleading result for Bennet, which, since it is only the second time he has been polled, will mess with the data for a little while. But the system should be able to correct for that pretty soon.