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Who are the Rookie of the Year leaders based on Total Runs?

September 16, 2009

With just over two weeks left in the 2009 season, let's take a look at the top rookie hitters in all of baseball, using the version of Runs Created used in The Fielding Bible—Volume II:

2009 Top Rookie Hitters, MLB
Player Runs Created
Chris Coghlan, Marlins 74
Seth Smith, Rockies 62
Dexter Fowler, Rockies 62
Nolan Reimold, Orioles 60
Andrew McCutchen, Pirates 59
Elvis Andrus, Rangers 59

Florida's Chris Coghlan has been the best rookie hitter this year, but there's much more to being a valuable baseball player. In The Fielding Bible—Volume II, we combine a hitter's Runs Created with his baserunning and defensive contributions. We also take into account the difficultly of his defensive position, giving shortstops and catchers more credit for manning more vital defensive positions. The end result, Total Runs, gives us a good measure of a player's total contribution on the field:

2009 AL Rookie of the Year Candidates
Player Runs
Created
Baserunning
Runs
Runs Saved Positional
Adjustment
Total Runs
Elvis Andrus, Rangers 59  4 11 27 101
Nolan Reimold, Orioles 60  0 -1 10  69
Jeff Niemann, Rays 73* 0 -4 0  69
Ricky Romero, Blue Jays 67* 0 1 0  68
Andrew Bailey, A's 66* 0 0 0  66

*Pitchers use Pitching Runs Created from The Hardball Times website.

In the American League, Elvis Andrus flies high above the pack. His 11 Defensive Runs Saved rates as the fourth best total of all players at his position. He also takes extra bases and plays excellent defense at one of the most difficult positions on the field. Factoring all of this into account, he should be the favorite as the American League's top rookie.

2009 NL Rookie of the Year Candidates
Player Runs
Created
Baserunning
Runs
Runs Saved Positional
Adjustment
Total Runs
Colby Rasmus, Cardinals 56  2 7 18 83
J.A. Happ, Phillies 81* 0 1 0 82
Seth Smith, Rockies 62  2 6 7 77
Chris Coghlan, Marlins 74  0 -13 12 73
A. McCutchen, Pirates 59  1 -6 16 70

*Pitchers use Pitching Runs Created from The Hardball Times website.

Over in the Senior Circuit, the race is much closer. J.A. Happ has been a key component of the Phillies' title defense, but Colby Rasmus's offensive production and defensive prowess in center field is edging him out for the time being. If either one stands out over the final two weeks, that might be enough to win the award.

 
 

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