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Who are baseball’s best and worst baserunners?

November 24, 2009

In The Bill James Handbook 2010 we analyze a player’s baserunning ability. For each player, we measure his ability to move first to third, second to home, and first to home in addition to the number of outs he records on the bases and how he fares in double plays.

While this year’s Handbook evaluates how each player performed in 2009, I thought it would be fun to take a look at baserunners over the past five years. We took a look at each player’s baserunning gain (stolen bases are not included) in order to determine baseball’s best and worst baserunners for the past five seasons.

Best Baserunners, 2005-2009
Player Baserunning Gain
Grady Sizemore +104
Chase Utley +96
Willy Taveras +95
Ichiro Suzuki +91
Randy Winn +90

According to this study, Grady Sizemore is the best baserunner in baseball with a +104, despite only a +4 in 106 games played this year. Think of that +104 as 104 extra bases taken compared to an average runner. Chase Utley, the only infielder on this list, comes in second with +96 and had an excellent year this year with a +27. Willy Taveras is slightly behind Utley, followed by Ichiro Suzuki and Randy Winn.

Worst Baserunners, 2005-2009
Player Baserunning Gain
Bengie Molina -106
Carlos Lee -97
Brian McCann -83
Yadier Molina -82
Mike Lowell -81

Ordinarily, when we do a Stat of the Week that involves catchers, the Molina brothers appear on some sort of "best-of" leaderboard. When it comes to baserunning, however, the two Molina brothers with starting jobs are two of the five worst baserunners in baseball over the past five years. At -97, Carlos Lee is right behind Bengie Molina’s league worst net gain of -106. Mike Lowell also makes the list of worst baserunners, and is the lone infielder in the bottom five. In 2009, Lowell was an abysmal -27. The worst baserunner in 2009, Juan Rivera at -35, just missed the five-year list with -80.

Interestingly, despite Rivera's -35, the Angels were baseball's best baserunning team with a +77 team score. The top five teams in 2009 were:

Best Baserunning Teams, 2009
Team Baserunning Gain
Los Angeles Angels +77
Colorado Rockies +70
Toronto Blue Jays +62
Philadelphia Phillies +46
Arizona Diamondbacks +45
San Francisco Giants +45

The Kansas City Royals were the worst at -97 as a team.

Happy Thanksgiving!

 
 

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