This year, eighty-nine ballots were cast for the Bill James Online Hall-of-Fame. From a crowded ballot, our readers voted in four starting pitchers:
Player
|
Votes
|
Percentage
|
Pedro Martinez
|
87
|
97.8%
|
Randy Johnson
|
86
|
96.6%
|
John Smoltz
|
70
|
78.7%
|
Curt Schilling
|
67
|
75.3%
|
Pedro Martinez finished with the highest percentage of the vote, narrowly beating out Randy Johnson. I don’t know that I’ll ever witness a player change a fan-base the way that Martinez changed what it was like to root for the Red Sox. I love Boston, but it’s not a perfect city, and many of its worst traits have seemed reflected in the city’s baseball team. But Red Sox fans loved Pedro…all of us. That a hot-tempered, highly-paid Dominican pitcher was able to turn around the culture of a hitting-focused franchise notoriously reluctant to embrace minority players is one of the most remarkable events in sports I’ve witnessed first-hand. I am convinced that Pedro made Boston a better city to live in: he broke down a lot of the provincialism that had marked Red Sox fandom for most of the team’s existence. He brought such light to the Red Sox, such energy and life to the old ballpark. His starts were events: the energy around Lansdowne Street was fantastic when Pedro was on the mound.
He was brilliant pitcher, of course: I think I’ll never see a pitcher as brilliant at Pedro was at his peak. But to call him brilliant is to miss half of what made Pedro such a singular player. To me, the remarkable thing about Martinez is that he combined the intensity...that hyper-competitiveness that players like Pete Rose or Frank Robinson or Ty Cobb possessed, with a startling joy. He played with a rare kind of humor: though he always wanted to win, he seemed to know, too, that he was making his living playing a game, and was fortunate to be doing that. That’s a difficult balance to find: combining a fierce will with a sense of perspective that allowed him to enjoy the contests he so frequently won.
And my god…what a player he was. I’ve never seen a pitcher figure out hitters the way that Martinez did. He had an uncanny knowledge of what a batter was thinking about: he was able to get into the heads of hitters than any other pitcher I’ve watched, and use that to his advantage. His most remarkable game might’ve been a relief appearance: his six-innings of no-hit ball against the Cleveland Indians during the 1999 ALDS. With guile and skill, an injured and exhausted Martinez held a monster line-up at bay. I remember watching that game and thinking: I won’t see this again, ever. He was a wonderful pitcher, the best I’ve ever seen, and I very much look forward to his induction to the real Hall of Fame this summer.
Randy Johnson must be one of the most unappreciated great players in baseball history. He’s won five Cy Young Award, came in second three other seasons, struck out more hitters than anyone other than Nolan Ryan (and at a better rate than any starter in history)….and it’s possible that he’s just the third-best pitcher of his generation. From 1999 to 2002, Johnson had stretch in which he went 81-27 with a 2.48 ERA, averaging 258 innings pitched and 354 strikeouts each year. Let me repeat that last bit: he averaged 358 strikeouts a year. He won the Cy Young each year….four years in a row…and it wasn’t like he was the only guy in the league (or on his team) putting up impressive seasons. He was a singular looking player, tall, and he had a singular motion; a half-side-arm sling that scared the hell out of left-handed batters. His career is what every team hopes for when they draft pitchers who are hard-throwing but wild….they hope they figure out the wildness without losing the velocity. Randy Johnson did that: he went from walking 6.8 batters per nine innings as a 28-year old to walking 3.5/9 the next year. In his last year in Arizona, as a forty-year old pitcher, The Big Unit walked just 1.6 batters per nine innings…and he led the NL in strikeouts. He was incredible: another deserving Hall-of-Famer.
John Smoltz is the rare player to have three acts in his career, going from a Cy Young-winning starter to an excellent closer and then back to starting. He is also a central figure in the turning-around of the Atlanta Braves, an organization that saw just 848,000 fans attend games during his first year with the club (Montreal, the team with the second-lowest attendance that year, drew 1,478,000 fans.) If you grew up with cable in the late 1980’s, you knew two things: 1) that the Braves would always be on the television, and 2) that they’d probably be losing. Smoltz was around for the losing, and he was around for the winning. One World Series title isn’t a lot, but the Braves were one of the great dynasties of baseball, and Smoltz was a central figure on many of those teams.
Finally, Curt Schilling was elected this year, after missing by a single vote last year. He is eminently deserving of the honor: though he didn’t have the career length of players like Glavine or Mussina, his peak years were more impressive than a lot of Hall of Fame pitchers. Like Smoltz, Schilling has one of the most impressive postseason resumes of any recent starting pitcher (11-2, 2.33 ERA, 1 bloody sock). And Schilling, a baseball obsessive, was one of the most reachable players in modern baseball: when he joined the Red Sox he started posting on the Sons of Sam Horn message board, answering questions directly instead of through the frequently contentious media outlets. While I seldom share either his political or scientific opinions, I always appreciated his willingness to put himself out there. Schilling seems like one of those people who is fundamentally honest; one of those persons who can’t help but be themselves. This means saying what they think, even if those thoughts occasionally cause controversy. I like people like this: they seem somehow more true than all of us who end up living multiple versions of ourselves. In an era when most athletes stay behind the curtain, it was nice to have a guy who didn’t come to us filtered through the reports of others. During that magic run of 2004, G38 seemed like the player who cared as much as we did in 2004. I hope he gets into the real Hall, though the backlog is getting pretty long.
Anyway…congrats to the newest members of the BJOL Hall-of-Fame. They join our previous classes:
2015 – Pedro Martinez, Randy Johnson, John Smoltz, Curt Schilling
2014 – Greg Maddux, Frank Thomas, Tom Glavine, Mike Mussina, Lou Whitaker
2013 – Craig Biggio, Mike Piazza, Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens
2012 – Edgar Martinez
2011 – Jeff Bagwell
2010 – Roberto Alomar, Barry Larkin, Mark McGwire
2009- Rickey Henderson, Tim Raines, Bert Blyleven, Alan Trammell
The BJOL readers have been on a little bit of a run with starting pitcher, electing seven in the last two years. We’ve managed to clear a lot of the obvious guys from a crowded ballot, leaving us plenty of room to discuss some interesting players.
* * *
Onto the rest of the results:
Player
|
Votes
|
Percentage
|
Dwight Evans
|
48
|
53.9%
|
Gary Sheffield
|
45
|
50.6%
|
Larry Walker
|
44
|
49.4%
|
Three outfielders hit the 50% mark, with write-in candidate Dwight Evans getting the most votes for a non-elective player. I meant to write a lengthy article about Evans, but circumstances (specifically, the birth of Kid #2) got in the way. I’m glad that Dewey is sticking around so I can give his candidacy and his career its due consideration. I promise I’ll write a long article about Dewey next year.
I think people will come around on the careers of Sheffield and Walker….though both played in a high offense era (and one enjoyed a high-offense park), I think that there’s evidence that their career accomplishments are Hall-worthy.
Player
|
Votes
|
Percentage
|
Jeff Kent
|
30
|
33.7%
|
Fred McGriff
|
30
|
33.7%
|
Andre Dawson
|
28
|
31.5%
|
Kenny Lofton
|
21
|
23.6%
|
Rafael Palmeiro
|
17
|
19.1%
|
Kevin Brown
|
17
|
19.1%
|
Six players received enough support to stay on comfortably. Jeff Kent seems the most interesting player of the group: he showed up on a lot of ‘short’ ballots…on ballots with five or six players. There were at least two ballot that listed only Pedro, Randy, Smoltz, Schilling, and Jeff Kent. This suggests that some percentage of our readers are very much convinced of the merits of Kent’s career.
Andre Dawson, the only player elected by the BBWAA who hasn’t been elected by our readers, continues to net about 30% of the vote. The same is true for 80’s slugger Fred McGriff. The controversial Rafael Palmeiro stays on our ballot, as does the superlative leadoff hitter Kenny Lofton. And while Kevin Brown’s career hasn’t found the same traction as some of his pitching peers, he has a solid base of support.
Player
|
Votes
|
Percentage
|
Sammy Sosa
|
13
|
14.6%
|
Lee Smith
|
11
|
12.4%
|
Bernie Williams
|
8
|
9.0%
|
Dale Murphy
|
8
|
9.0%
|
Outfield Sammy Sosa remains on the ballot, as does closer Lee Smith...I don’t know if this means that the BJOL has a strong membership contingent in the Wrigleyville neighborhood of Chicago, or if we need to do more marketing at the many fine taverns in the area. If Sosa or Smith are elected, the first round of Old Style’s are on us.
Yankees centerfielder Bernie Williams manages to sticks on the ballot, as does two-time MVP Dale Murphy. We’ll see if they can gain some ground when the pack thins out.
Player
|
Votes
|
Percentage
|
Brian Giles
|
3
|
3.4%
|
Carlos Delgado
|
3
|
3.4%
|
Nomar Grciparra
|
2
|
2.2%
|
Brian Giles, Carlos Delgado, and Nomar Garciaparra are falling off the ballot: while each player received a few votes, none crossed the 5% needed to stay on another year.
Of the three, I’m most disappointed about Garciaparra falling off the ballot. While his career was very short, he was absolutely a Hall-of-Fame caliber player for the six years of his peak. While I’m not sure that Garciaparra is a Hall-of-Fame player, I think there’s an argument to be made that six years of great play at least challenges the longer-but-lesser careers of a player like Rafael Palmeiro. In a weird way, the player who makes a case for Garciaparra is Sandy Koufax, who had the same six seasons of brilliance, surrounded by a short span of mediocrity. The difference is that Sandy became great, while Nomar started great and declined. Thus, we see Nomar as a disappointment, while Sandy is a great surprise.
Or maybe I’m a hopeless homer. I loved Nomah.
Player
|
Votes
|
Percentage
|
Tom Gordon
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Darin Erstad
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Jason Schmidt
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Cliff Floyd
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Jermaine Dye
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Rich Aurilia
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Troy Percival
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Eddie Guardado
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Aaron Boone
|
0
|
0.0%
|
Tony Clark
|
0
|
0.0%
|
No one votes for these guys. If they were BJOL members, they could’ve voted for themselves. Oh well.
* * *
We can look at how players have done on a year-by-year basis. Curt Schilling was elected this year, after nearly making it last year:
Player
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
Curt Schilling
|
54%
|
74%
|
75%
|
Getting 50% the first year a player appears on the ballot is a good start….Schilling was almost elected in his second year, and crossed the line (narrowly) this year. Every vote counts.
A few player have received consistent levels of support over the years:
Player
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
Fred McGriff
|
18%
|
25%
|
36%
|
28%
|
29%
|
34%
|
Larry Walker
|
x
|
23%
|
50%
|
50%
|
55%
|
49%
|
Kevin Brown
|
x
|
22%
|
24%
|
18%
|
21%
|
19%
|
Kenny Lofton
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
25%
|
26%
|
24%
|
Jeff Kent
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
33%
|
34%
|
Fred McGriff is our poster-boy for a steady level of support, getting on about one-third of our ballots every year. Larry Walker had had four years in a row of 50% support….it’ll be interesting to see if he’s stagnating there, or if he makes a leap forward when the ballot thins out.
Kevin Brown and Kenny Lofton have stayed in the mid-20’s since they arrived on the ballot…I am less optimistic about their chances, though I think that Lofton will see a big surge when the ballot thins out.
Jeff Kent is getting the same levels of support that Fred McGriff gets, and the questions going forward is the same: will he stay in the 30’s, or gain some support down the track.
Player
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
Andre Dawson
|
21%
|
25%
|
18%
|
52%
|
39%
|
44%
|
32%
|
Lee Smith
|
14%
|
35%
|
40%
|
15%
|
8%
|
x
|
12%
|
Rafael Palmeiro
|
x
|
x
|
33%
|
48%
|
49%
|
46%
|
19%
|
Sammy Sosa
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
x
|
33%
|
32%
|
15%
|
Andre Dawson saw a slight decline this year….we have a lot of outfielders on our ballot right now, and it’s a little difficult to pick out the deserving players.
Lee Smith has the least consistent voting results of any player: after netting 14% in his first year, the great reliever jumped to 35% and then 40%....outpacing players like Andre Dawson and Fred McGriff. Then Smith dropped to 15%, and then 8%. I mistakenly left him off our ballot in 2014, but he didn’t see a jump in 2015. I think the window is closing on Smith…when the likes of Rivera and Hoffman show up on the ballot, he’ll struggle to hang on. He does have some staunch defenders.
Raffy and Sosa, two players linked with steroids, saw their results cut in half this year. This is particularly surprising for Palmeiro, who was edging towards the 50% mark before this season. It’ll be interesting to see how both players fare in the coming years.
* * *
In our third annual write-in campaign, we saw strong support for Giants first baseman Will Clark. The excellent defensive whiz and one-time Seinfeld guest-star Keith Hernandez had strong support, and Minnie Minosa saw a late surge. A lot of folks wrote in Pete Rose, who is absolutely eligible…it’d be fascinating to have Pete Rose on our ballot at some point.
But…one man absolutely dominated the write-in vote this year: Bobby Grich. The Angels second baseman received 26 of the 61 write-in votes we received, 43% of the overall vote and a staggering twenty votes more than second-place finisher Will Clark. Some years its close….this year it was a blowout. Bobby Grich will appear on our ballot next year.
We’ll see you then.
Dave Fleming is a writer living in Wellington, New Zealand. He welcomes comments, questions, and suggestions here and at dfleming1986@yahoo.com.