We worked with the Wall Street Journal to develop Olympic medal projections and shared them in the Journal here and in the Stat of the Week a couple of weeks ago here. With a week left of the 2018 Winter Olympics in PyeongChang, the model is working pretty well. Except for the United States.
There are 61 of 102 events completed at this point. Norway is on pace to win the medal title as was originally projected. However, the United States was projected to tie with them and it is far behind. Our updated projections are: