Polling Report 5-6-2019
These are the current results of the Bill James Daily Presidential Poll, from Twitter. These numbers represent, as best I can measure it, the number of voters per 10,000, among people who follow me on twitter and who vote in the polls, who prefer this candidate. As a practical matter, their real import is simply where the candidates stand relative to one another, among that group of poll respondents. The polling method is explained in detail in the article "Introduction to the Polling System", which was also published today.
In my polls, the #1 most-preferred candidate is Pete Buttigieg, but with Buttigieg holding only a narrow lead over Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren. Buttigieg appears to be the preferred candidate of 1,091 voters out of 10,000—not 10,000 Democrats, but 10,000 respondents of any stripe. There are 27 candidates listed in my group, but I have not yet polled Michael Bennet, so he is not included in this list. He is being polled today.
Thank you all for participating, and I appreciate your interest.
Position
|
First
|
Last
|
Strength
|
1
|
Pete
|
Buttigieg
|
1091
|
2
|
Kamala
|
Harris
|
1069
|
3
|
Elizabeth
|
Warren
|
1052
|
|
|
|
|
4
|
Joe
|
Biden
|
935
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
John
|
Kasich
|
636
|
|
|
|
|
6
|
Donald
|
Trump
|
590
|
7
|
Bernie
|
Sanders
|
540
|
8
|
Beto
|
O'Rourke
|
512
|
|
|
|
|
9
|
John
|
Hickenlooper
|
470
|
10
|
Cory
|
Booker
|
428
|
|
|
|
|
11
|
Amy
|
Klobuchar
|
384
|
|
|
|
|
12
|
Bill
|
Weld
|
258
|
13
|
Andrew
|
Yang
|
236
|
14
|
Howard
|
Schultz
|
226
|
15
|
Julian
|
Castro
|
224
|
16
|
Kirsten
|
Gillibrand
|
219
|
17
|
Tim
|
Ryan
|
213
|
|
|
|
|
18
|
Jeff
|
Flake
|
192
|
19
|
Tulsi
|
Gabbard
|
187
|
20
|
Jay
|
Inslee
|
132
|
21
|
Eric
|
Swallwell
|
127
|
|
|
|
|
22
|
John
|
Delaney
|
71
|
23
|
Mike
|
Gravel
|
70
|
24
|
Seth
|
Moulton
|
69
|
25
|
Wayne
|
Messam
|
36
|
26
|
Marrianne
|
Williamson
|
33
|
Obviously John Kasich has shown surprising strength—not just in one poll; he actually has done surprisingly well in all four polls in which he has been included. But I’ll leave the commenting to you guys.