With six days left, Canada has fallen too far behind. Before the Olympics started it looked like they had a good shot at winning the medal race. But the United States has risen to the occasion and is in the lead, with Germany coming on strong the last couple of days. Vancouver's proximity to the United States gives the US an element of the home field advantage as well. Here is the medal situation as of this morning:

Nevertheless, based on the remaining events, we still predict that Canada will come on strong. In fact, we predict them to win the most medals in the remaining six days (15, compared to 9 for USA and 7 for Germany). Our projected final totals at this point are:

While we fell short on our original projection for Canada, our original United States projection (10 golds and 33 total medals) is still right on the button.