The Better League, 4
The Star Population
I believe it to be characteristic of a superior league that a stronger league has more long-term stars than a weaker league. You are free to agree or disagree, but this is what I believe.
Of course, single-season statistics are balanced within every league, the successes and failures of that league being even except for interleague play. However, suppose that in comparing two leagues one league has "stars" who just pop up and fade away, whereas the other league has more players who are good or great every year. Do we regard these leagues as even, or uneven? I regard the league with the larger population of enduring stars as probably the superior league.
So, how do we count them? Using Win Shares again; it’s what I have in an organized form. My rules here are:
1) No player is counted as a long-term star in any season in which he has fewer than 15 Win Shares. Henry Aaron earned 13 Win Shares in 1954, when he was 20-year-old rookie, and 13 in 1974, when he was a 40-year old veteran who hit .268 with 20 homers in 112 games. He drove in 69 runs in each of those seasons. That’s not a star player; that’s a fellow who will be a star player later, or who used to be a superstar and also broke one of baseball’s greatest records that season, but that’s not really relevant to how great a player he is. 15 Win Shares, you can be listed as a long-term star if you otherwise qualify; 14, you can’t. Miguel Cabrera no longer counts as a long-term star, because having Miguel Cabrera in the league is no longer evidence that the American League is a strong league.
2) To qualify as a long-term star, a player must have at least 200 Win Career Shares. At 200 Win Shares, however, he counts as a 1-point contributor to the League Long-Term Stars Collection (LLTSC). I’ll also call it "Star Weight".
For a catcher, the formula sets the player’s level is int[(CWS – 185) / 15], where CWS stands for Career Win Shares, and int means "Integer". So a catcher is a 1-point contributor to the League Star Weight if his career Win Shares are 200-214, a 2-point contributor at 215-229 Win Shares, a 3-point contributor at 230-244, a 4-point contributor at 245-259, etc.
Any position player who is not primarily a catcher is evaluated by the formula int[(CWS – 180) / 20], so he is a one-point contributor in the range of 200 to 219, a 2-point contributor in the range of 220 to 239, a 3-point contributor in the range of 240 to 259, a 4-point contributor in the range of 260 to 279, etc.
A pitcher is evaluated by the formula int[(CWS – 182) / 18], so he is a one-point contributor in the range of 200 to 217, a 2-point contributor in the range fo 218 to 235, a 3-point contributor in the range of 236 to 253, a 4-point contributor in the range of 254 to 271, etc.
When a player starts his career as a catcher but moves in mid-career, like Joe Torre, Craig Biggio, or BJ Surhoff, his stature is figured as a "something else". Obviously Ted Simmons and Johnny Bench and guys like that, a year somewhere else at the end of their careers, are figured as catchers.
Supplementing those formulas, I gave "grants" to players like Ted Willilams, Bobby Feller and others who were bigger stars than is suggested by their Career Win Shares total because of military service interruptions, and to players whose careers were delayed by racial prejudice, but who managed to become stars and superstars anyway. There were 34 players who were given grants to register them as higher-impact stars than they otherwise appear to be. I’ll mark these as "M" for military service, and "R" for racial bias. The 34 players are:
Luke Appling (M, 2 points)
Roy Campanella (R, 1 point)
Murry Dickson (M, 2 points)
Dom DiMaggio (M, 3 points)
Joe DiMaggio (M, 3 points)
Larry Doby (M and R, 3 points)
Bobby Doerr (M, 1 point)
Bob Feller (M, 4 points)
Whitey Ford (M, 2 points)
Joe Gordon (M, 2 points)
Hank Greenberg (M, 5 points)
Dick Groat (M, 2 points)
Tommy Henrich (M, 3 points)
Billy Herman (M, 2 points)
Elston Howard (R, 2 points)
Eddie Joost (M, 2 points)
Charlie Keller (M, 2 points)
Bob Lemon (M, 2 points)
Willie Mays (M, 2 points)
Minnie Minoso (R, 4 points)
Johnny Mize (M, 3 points)
Pee Wee Reese (M, 3 points)
Phil Rizzuto (M, 3 points)
Jackie Robinson (M and R, 5 points)
Red Ruffing (M, 3 points)
Curt Simmons (M, 1 point)
Enos Slaughter (M, 3 points)
Warren Spahn (M, 3 points)
Arky Vaughan (M, 2 points)
Mickey Vernon (M, 2 points)
Bill White (M, 2 points)
Ted Williams (M, 5 points)
Gene Woodling (M, 1 point)
Early Wynn (M, 1 point)
My understanding is that Eddie Joost and Arky Vaughan did not actually serve in the military, but that their careers were interrupted by taking jobs in vital industries due to war-time laws. The "grants" here generally UNDERSTATE what the player lost. Ted Williams and Jackie Robinson almost certainly lost MORE than 100 career Win Shares. This is consistent with my general philosophy that it is often better to half-solve a problem than to try to completely solve it. You half-solve a problem, you’re in a better position; you try to COMPLETELY compensate every player for every loss, then you create other problems as large as the one you are trying to solve.
In baseball history there are 6,816 player/seasons in which the player is considered to be a long-term star of at least very modest quality. The biggest stars in baseball history, by this process, are:
Babe Ruth, Level 28
Ty Cobb, 27
Barry Bonds, 26
Cy Young, 25
Willie Mays, 25
Honus Wagner, 23
Ted Williams, 23
Hank Aaron, 23
Tris Speaker, 22
Stan Musial, 22
Walter Johnson, 21
To take, for example, the 1980 season. In the 1980 season the American League had 32 long-term stars who had contributing seasons, with a total "star weight" of 193 points:
Rickey
|
Henderson
|
17
|
Reggie
|
Jackson
|
13
|
George
|
Brett
|
12
|
Carlton
|
Fisk
|
12
|
Eddie
|
Murray
|
12
|
Robin
|
Yount
|
12
|
Paul
|
Molitor
|
11
|
Rod
|
Carew
|
10
|
Dwight
|
Evans
|
8
|
Bobby
|
Grich
|
7
|
Buddy
|
Bell
|
6
|
Al
|
Oliver
|
6
|
Willie
|
Randolph
|
6
|
Ken
|
Singleton
|
6
|
Alan
|
Trammell
|
6
|
Toby
|
Harrah
|
5
|
Tommy
|
John
|
5
|
Fred
|
Lynn
|
5
|
Jim
|
Rice
|
5
|
Chet
|
Lemon
|
4
|
Lance
|
Parrish
|
4
|
Cecil
|
Cooper
|
3
|
Jerry
|
Koosman
|
3
|
Carney
|
Lansford
|
3
|
Goose
|
Gossage
|
2
|
Hal
|
McRae
|
2
|
Bob
|
Watson
|
2
|
Willie
|
Wilson
|
2
|
Doug
|
DeCinces
|
1
|
Mike
|
Hargrove
|
1
|
Dave
|
Stieb
|
1
|
Jim
|
Sundberg
|
1
|
The National League in 1980 had 35 contributing stars, with a total star weight of 224 points.
Pete
|
Rose
|
18
|
Joe
|
Morgan
|
16
|
Mike
|
Schmidt
|
14
|
Johnny
|
Bench
|
11
|
Dave
|
Winfield
|
11
|
Steve
|
Carlton
|
10
|
Gary
|
Carter
|
10
|
Phil
|
Niekro
|
10
|
Darrell
|
Evans
|
9
|
Andre
|
Dawson
|
8
|
Ted
|
Simmons
|
8
|
Dave
|
Parker
|
7
|
Ozzie
|
Smith
|
7
|
Reggie
|
Smith
|
7
|
Don
|
Sutton
|
7
|
Jack
|
Clark
|
6
|
Jose
|
Cruz
|
6
|
Keith
|
Hernandez
|
6
|
Cesar
|
Cedeno
|
5
|
Ron
|
Cey
|
5
|
Dale
|
Murphy
|
5
|
Dave
|
Concepcion
|
4
|
George
|
Foster
|
4
|
Steve
|
Garvey
|
4
|
Dusty
|
Baker
|
3
|
Ken (Sr.)
|
Griffey
|
3
|
Davey
|
Lopes
|
3
|
Gary
|
Matthews
|
3
|
Rick
|
Reuschel
|
3
|
Gene
|
Tenace
|
3
|
Bill
|
Buckner
|
2
|
Chris
|
Chambliss
|
2
|
George
|
Hendrick
|
2
|
Vida
|
Blue
|
1
|
Garry
|
Templeton
|
1
|
We could also figure by this method the "star weight" of every TEAM in history. Maybe another time. The historical average is 15.09 star points per team. If your team has 15 points of star weight, you’re average. Also noted. .I think that if you count magazine covers from that era, I’m pretty sure you will confirm the conclusion that, in that era and throughout his career, Pete Rose was a bigger star than Mike Schmidt, Joe Morgan or anyone else in the league. Much more was written about Rose than about any other player.
Tom Seaver did not have a contributing season in 1980, if you are wondering. He pitched 188 innings, was 10-8 with a 3.64 ERA. That’s not good enough to say that Tom Seaver being in that league is evidence of the strength of the league, because Seaver in that season is just an ordinary guy. Seaver is a Level-11 star in his normal seasons.
In 1980, the National League is shown as having a few more long-term stars and higher-impact stars, but it’s close. Throughout much of history, is ISN’T close; it isn’t close at all.
Summarizing history: The National League started with almost no long-term stars as we would calculate it, in part because anything that happened before 1876 doesn’t count in this system, and in part because their seasons were so short that few players earned 15 or more Win Shares. We credit the National League with a star weight of 9 points in 1876.
This number increased rapidly, up to 100 points by 1881. Throughout the 1880s, the National League always had far, far more stars than its competitor, the American Association, by counts like 105-18 (1882), 125-50 (1884), 144-46 (1886), and 177-53 (1889). The American Association never came close to catching up to the National League in this regard.
In 1890 the Players formed their own league, the Player’s League. The Player’s League claimed a little over half of the star power, leading the star count 24-17, and leading in Star Weight, 125-114. The American Association lost almost all of their stars, being left with two contributing stars (Jack Stivetts and Cupid Childs) and a Star Weight of just 7 points. It’s really a two-league battle, not a three-league battle. In 1891 the Player’s League folded, and the NL outscores the American Association by the usual 218-57 score.
After the 1891 season the American Association folded, with four of the American Association teams joining the National League. The National League in the years 1892-1899 has the highest ratios of stars to teams of any league in baseball history. The reason this happens is that it is a "compressed talent" league. All the stars from the 1880s, both leagues. . .all of those who are good enough to carry on their careers are in the National League. On the other end, the same thing is true only working backward; many of the National League’s young and hungry stars from the late 1890s went on to long careers, thus high scores, in the American League. The result is that the National League has very high ratios of stars per team at the beginning of the 1892-1899 era, and at the end of it. In the middle, their star ratios drop down to historically normal levels.
In 1900 the National League cut down to eight teams, with the result that the National League in 1900 has a star weight of 219 points on just eight teams, the highest ratio of star weight to teams in baseball history (27.4 star points per team.) In 1901 the National League completely dominated the American League in Star Points (212-85), but by 1902 the American League had vaulted ahead (149-118), due to defections of stars to the American League, which was paying somewhat higher salaries.
You may remember that earlier in this series I stated that the American League did not attract SOME of the National League’s stars; it attracted MOST of the National League’s stars. When I said that I was just speaking observationally; I had not done actual analysis to show that that was true. This analysis confirms that what I believed to be true anyway WAS true; the American League by 1902 DID have most of the stars, over half.
The American League then led the "Star Weight Competition" by narrow margins in 1902, 1903 and 1904. The National League then moved back ahead by narrow margins in 1905 and 1906. It can generally be said that the numbers of long-term stars were about equal between the two leagues from 1902 to 1906.
But the American League was coming up with guys like Ty Cobb, Tris Speaker, Walter Johnson, Eddie Collins and Home Run Baker. The National League wasn’t. The American League moved ahead of the NL in star weight in 1907, and stayed ahead for a long, long, long time. The American League has more long-term stars than the National League in every single season from 1907 to 1942, and many times the margin is HUGE. The American League is so far ahead in some seasons that if you don’t count Babe Ruth, Ty Cobb, Walter Johnson and Tris Speaker, they’re still ahead. The margins over the years included 178-117 (1910), 199-88 (1919), 203-98 (1922), 192-96 (1925), 205-110 (1926), 178-102 (1933), and 166-93 (1939). The American League throughout all of that era is just far, far ahead in terms of its star power.
The numbers in both leagues dropped very sharply during World War II, dropping from a total (both leagues) of 252 in 1941 to 250 in 1942, 155 in 1943, 102 in 1944, and 90 in 1945.
The National League is slightly ahead from 1943-1945. In 1946 the numbers mostly recovered, and the American League, with the return of Williams and Feller and DiMaggio and Greenberg, immediately jumped back ahead, although not by the huge margins of the 1907-1941 era. The American League is ahead in the 1946-1949 era, but the National League is gaining on them. In 1950 the NL shows as being slightly ahead; in the 1951, the AL moves back a little bit ahead.
In 1952 the National League takes over, and the National League rules for almost as long as the American League had ruled. The National League had more long-term stars in their midst in 1953, 1954, 1955, 1956, etc., until 1982—and many of the margins are enormous. You will note that this is essentially identical to the conclusion reached in Better League 1, the first of these daily analytical probes of the subject.
The margins started out significant (130-97 in 1953, 129-98 in 1954) and grew steadily. In 1958 it was 167-114, in 1962 210-109, in 1963 237-97, in 1965 252-124, in 1967 258-145, in 1969 274-165.
In 1971 the National League had a "star weight" of 287 points, an all-time record. There were 36 long-term stars in the National League, a list which follows with the weight that we assign to each star:
Hank
|
Aaron
|
23
|
Willie
|
Mays
|
23
|
|
|
|
Pete
|
Rose
|
18
|
Joe
|
Morgan
|
16
|
|
|
|
Johnny
|
Bench
|
11
|
Willie
|
McCovey
|
11
|
Tom
|
Seaver
|
11
|
Steve
|
Carlton
|
10
|
Phil
|
Niekro
|
10
|
Gaylord
|
Perry
|
10
|
|
|
|
Roberto
|
Clemente
|
9
|
Willie
|
Stargell
|
9
|
Billy
|
Williams
|
9
|
Dick
|
Allen
|
8
|
Lou
|
Brock
|
8
|
Tony
|
Perez
|
8
|
Ted
|
Simmons
|
8
|
Rusty
|
Staub
|
8
|
|
|
|
Willie
|
Davis
|
7
|
Bob
|
Gibson
|
7
|
Fergie
|
Jenkins
|
7
|
Ron
|
Santo
|
7
|
Don
|
Sutton
|
7
|
Bobby
|
Bonds
|
6
|
Al
|
Oliver
|
6
|
Joe
|
Torre
|
6
|
|
|
|
Cesar
|
Cedeno
|
5
|
Ron
|
Fairly
|
4
|
Juan
|
Marichal
|
4
|
Maury
|
Wills
|
3
|
|
|
|
Lee
|
May
|
2
|
Bob
|
Watson
|
2
|
Richie
|
Hebner
|
1
|
Tim
|
McCarver
|
1
|
Milt
|
Pappas
|
1
|
Chris
|
Speier
|
1
|
No other league has ever had that many stars of that quality. The American League was doing OK, too; they had 177 points of star weight, an OK number if you don’t compare it to the National League. Beginning in 1972 the American League began to catch up rapidly, due to the talent explosions in Boston, Baltimore and Oakland, and to the National League gradually losing some of its long-term superstars like Mays, Aaron, Clemente and Bob Gibson. By 1975 the leagues were nearly even.
In 1982 the American League finally pulled ahead, and solidly ahead (257-202). The American League then remained ahead until 1997, with the exception of a small advantage for the National League in the 1994 strike season.
The NL pulled ahead in 2001 and led until 2005, sometime by wide margins, reaching 245-147 in 2004. I don’t quite know what to do with that information, since I don’t think that most other indicators will show the National League to be the stronger league in 2004, but what do you do with information you can’t fit into your neural network? You take it for what it is.
By 2006 the American League is back ahead. After 2006 the quality of information here begins to degrade rapidly. You can’t compare the two leagues in this way in 2021, because you can’t put an accurate or reasonably-accurate grade on anyone. Nolan Arenado, Mookie Betts and Aaron Judge don’t register as long-term stars yet, although obviously they will when their careers are complete. Freddie Freeman and Paul Goldschmidt register as long-term stars now, but are still rapidly climbing the ladder. You just can’t get any reliable information for 2021. To make this work—that is, to avoid having zeroes for those years--I just had to plaster in numbers for the last 10-12 years, based on over-interpreting what information I have to work with.
Now, since we have decided to state all of these scraps of information on a .500 scale, how do state this on a .500 scale?
The historical average is 15.09 points of star weight per team. Let us assume that if your league had zero star weight—and every league in history has at least SOME star weight—but let us assume that if you were at zero, you would have a .200 league. Let us assume, then, that for every point of star weight per team, your league’s presumptive strength increases by .020. Then an average league should score at .500. Actually, the number that gets us to .500 for an average league is .01925.
The National League in 1971 had 23.92 points of star weight per team. Multipy that by .01925, add .200, and you’re at .660, so the National League in 1971 is given a presumptive strength indicator, based on the number and quality of long-term stars playing in the league, of .660. The American League the same year was at .484.
This chart summarizes the star-strength of each league each season, with the strongest league of the decade highlighted in blue, and the weakest of each decade marked in red. Well, pink:
Season
|
League
|
Score
|
1876
|
NL
|
.222
|
1877
|
NL
|
.229
|
1878
|
NL
|
.264
|
1879
|
NL
|
.325
|
1880
|
NL
|
.371
|
1881
|
NL
|
.441
|
1882
|
NL
|
.453
|
1882
|
AA
|
.258
|
1883
|
NL
|
.460
|
1883
|
AA
|
.282
|
1884
|
NL
|
.501
|
1884
|
AA
|
.280
|
1884
|
UA
|
.207
|
1885
|
NL
|
.486
|
1885
|
AA
|
.265
|
1886
|
NL
|
.547
|
1886
|
AA
|
.311
|
1887
|
NL
|
.587
|
1887
|
AA
|
.308
|
1888
|
NL
|
.587
|
1888
|
AA
|
.299
|
1889
|
NL
|
.626
|
1889
|
AA
|
.328
|
1890
|
PL
|
.501
|
1890
|
NL
|
.474
|
1890
|
AA
|
.217
|
1891
|
NL
|
.725
|
1891
|
AA
|
.337
|
1892
|
NL
|
.648
|
1893
|
NL
|
.566
|
1894
|
NL
|
.505
|
1895
|
NL
|
.503
|
1896
|
NL
|
.506
|
1897
|
NL
|
.556
|
1898
|
NL
|
.627
|
1899
|
NL
|
.607
|
1900
|
NL
|
.727
|
1901
|
NL
|
.710
|
1901
|
AL
|
.405
|
1902
|
AL
|
.559
|
1902
|
NL
|
.484
|
1903
|
AL
|
.537
|
1903
|
NL
|
.494
|
1904
|
AL
|
.551
|
1904
|
NL
|
.518
|
1905
|
NL
|
.515
|
1905
|
AL
|
.506
|
1906
|
AL
|
.530
|
1906
|
NL
|
.508
|
1907
|
AL
|
.556
|
1907
|
NL
|
.474
|
1908
|
AL
|
.559
|
1908
|
NL
|
.518
|
1909
|
AL
|
.585
|
1909
|
NL
|
.455
|
1910
|
AL
|
.628
|
1910
|
NL
|
.482
|
1911
|
AL
|
.563
|
1911
|
NL
|
.496
|
1912
|
AL
|
.590
|
1912
|
NL
|
.482
|
1913
|
AL
|
.592
|
1913
|
NL
|
.513
|
1914
|
AL
|
.568
|
1914
|
NL
|
.508
|
1914
|
FL
|
.248
|
1915
|
AL
|
.607
|
1915
|
NL
|
.443
|
1915
|
FL
|
.270
|
1916
|
AL
|
.660
|
1916
|
NL
|
.527
|
1917
|
AL
|
.681
|
1917
|
NL
|
.477
|
1918
|
AL
|
.578
|
1918
|
NL
|
.393
|
1919
|
AL
|
.679
|
1919
|
NL
|
.412
|
1920
|
AL
|
.636
|
1920
|
NL
|
.496
|
1921
|
AL
|
.684
|
1921
|
NL
|
.470
|
1922
|
AL
|
.688
|
1922
|
NL
|
.436
|
1923
|
AL
|
.664
|
1923
|
NL
|
.486
|
1924
|
AL
|
.669
|
1924
|
NL
|
.467
|
1925
|
AL
|
.667
|
1925
|
NL
|
.462
|
1926
|
AL
|
.662
|
1926
|
NL
|
.431
|
1927
|
AL
|
.693
|
1927
|
NL
|
.465
|
1928
|
AL
|
.609
|
1928
|
NL
|
.515
|
1929
|
AL
|
.626
|
1929
|
NL
|
.467
|
1930
|
AL
|
.602
|
1930
|
NL
|
.465
|
1931
|
AL
|
.547
|
1931
|
NL
|
.474
|
1932
|
AL
|
.575
|
1932
|
NL
|
.433
|
1933
|
AL
|
.628
|
1933
|
NL
|
.445
|
1934
|
AL
|
.578
|
1934
|
NL
|
.465
|
1935
|
AL
|
.539
|
1935
|
NL
|
.455
|
1936
|
AL
|
.530
|
1936
|
NL
|
.470
|
1937
|
AL
|
.527
|
1937
|
NL
|
.455
|
1938
|
AL
|
.561
|
1938
|
NL
|
.455
|
1939
|
AL
|
.599
|
1939
|
NL
|
.424
|
1940
|
AL
|
.563
|
1940
|
NL
|
.429
|
1941
|
AL
|
.563
|
1941
|
NL
|
.443
|
1942
|
AL
|
.501
|
1942
|
NL
|
.501
|
1943
|
NL
|
.405
|
1943
|
AL
|
.368
|
1944
|
NL
|
.361
|
1944
|
AL
|
.284
|
1945
|
NL
|
.318
|
1945
|
AL
|
.299
|
1946
|
AL
|
.470
|
1946
|
NL
|
.409
|
1947
|
AL
|
.477
|
1947
|
NL
|
.445
|
1948
|
AL
|
.494
|
1948
|
NL
|
.424
|
1949
|
AL
|
.503
|
1949
|
NL
|
.474
|
1950
|
NL
|
.486
|
1950
|
AL
|
.479
|
1951
|
AL
|
.520
|
1951
|
NL
|
.510
|
1952
|
NL
|
.513
|
1952
|
AL
|
.433
|
1953
|
NL
|
.510
|
1953
|
AL
|
.436
|
1954
|
NL
|
.556
|
1954
|
AL
|
.465
|
1955
|
NL
|
.566
|
1955
|
AL
|
.508
|
1956
|
NL
|
.614
|
1956
|
AL
|
.518
|
1957
|
NL
|
.599
|
1957
|
AL
|
.472
|
1958
|
NL
|
.602
|
1958
|
AL
|
.474
|
1959
|
NL
|
.544
|
1959
|
AL
|
.477
|
1960
|
NL
|
.578
|
1960
|
AL
|
.532
|
1961
|
NL
|
.624
|
1961
|
AL
|
.408
|
1962
|
NL
|
.604
|
1962
|
AL
|
.410
|
1963
|
NL
|
.656
|
1963
|
AL
|
.387
|
1964
|
NL
|
.606
|
1964
|
AL
|
.456
|
1965
|
NL
|
.685
|
1965
|
AL
|
.439
|
1966
|
NL
|
.677
|
1966
|
AL
|
.477
|
1967
|
NL
|
.697
|
1967
|
AL
|
.479
|
1968
|
NL
|
.716
|
1968
|
AL
|
.504
|
1969
|
NL
|
.640
|
1969
|
AL
|
.465
|
1970
|
NL
|
.598
|
1970
|
AL
|
.474
|
1971
|
NL
|
.660
|
1971
|
AL
|
.484
|
1972
|
NL
|
.603
|
1972
|
AL
|
.503
|
1973
|
NL
|
.622
|
1973
|
AL
|
.505
|
1974
|
NL
|
.627
|
1974
|
AL
|
.530
|
1975
|
NL
|
.607
|
1975
|
AL
|
.564
|
1976
|
NL
|
.558
|
1976
|
AL
|
.538
|
1977
|
NL
|
.596
|
1977
|
AL
|
.496
|
1978
|
NL
|
.620
|
1978
|
AL
|
.527
|
1979
|
NL
|
.572
|
1979
|
AL
|
.460
|
1980
|
NL
|
.559
|
1980
|
AL
|
.465
|
1981
|
NL
|
.405
|
1981
|
AL
|
.349
|
1982
|
AL
|
.553
|
1982
|
NL
|
.524
|
1983
|
AL
|
.523
|
1983
|
NL
|
.441
|
1984
|
AL
|
.511
|
1984
|
NL
|
.404
|
1985
|
AL
|
.553
|
1985
|
NL
|
.429
|
1986
|
AL
|
.505
|
1986
|
NL
|
.425
|
1987
|
AL
|
.527
|
1987
|
NL
|
.449
|
1988
|
AL
|
.530
|
1988
|
NL
|
.453
|
1989
|
AL
|
.501
|
1989
|
NL
|
.484
|
1990
|
AL
|
.525
|
1990
|
NL
|
.487
|
1991
|
AL
|
.515
|
1991
|
NL
|
.529
|
1992
|
AL
|
.519
|
1992
|
NL
|
.540
|
1993
|
AL
|
.490
|
1993
|
NL
|
.485
|
1994
|
NL
|
.423
|
1994
|
AL
|
.412
|
1995
|
AL
|
.500
|
1995
|
NL
|
.437
|
1996
|
AL
|
.522
|
1996
|
NL
|
.503
|
1997
|
AL
|
.530
|
1997
|
NL
|
.472
|
1998
|
NL
|
.490
|
1998
|
AL
|
.526
|
1999
|
NL
|
.518
|
1999
|
AL
|
.500
|
2000
|
NL
|
.488
|
2000
|
AL
|
.494
|
2001
|
NL
|
.498
|
2001
|
AL
|
.468
|
2002
|
NL
|
.512
|
2002
|
AL
|
.460
|
2003
|
NL
|
.485
|
2003
|
AL
|
.441
|
2004
|
NL
|
.495
|
2004
|
AL
|
.402
|
2005
|
NL
|
.445
|
2005
|
AL
|
.394
|
2006
|
AL
|
.460
|
2006
|
NL
|
.420
|
2007
|
NL
|
.432
|
2007
|
AL
|
.456
|
2008
|
AL
|
.476
|
2008
|
NL
|
.414
|
2009
|
AL
|
.519
|
2009
|
NL
|
.481
|
2010
|
AL
|
.541
|
2010
|
NL
|
.459
|
2011
|
NL
|
.490
|
2011
|
AL
|
.510
|
2012
|
AL
|
.537
|
2012
|
NL
|
.463
|
2013
|
AL
|
.505
|
2013
|
NL
|
.495
|
2014
|
AL
|
.513
|
2014
|
NL
|
.487
|
2015
|
AL
|
.536
|
2015
|
NL
|
.464
|
2016
|
AL
|
.525
|
2016
|
NL
|
.475
|
2017
|
AL
|
.507
|
2017
|
NL
|
.493
|
2018
|
NL
|
.502
|
2018
|
AL
|
.498
|
2019
|
NL
|
.506
|
2019
|
AL
|
.494
|
2020
|
AL
|
.500
|
2020
|
NL
|
.500
|
2021
|
AL
|
.500
|
2021
|
NL
|
.500
|
And this chart summarizes all four of the indicators we have so far created. In this chart, the blue/red highlighting is used to indicate years in which one league appears to be at least 75 points (.075) stronger than the other. Green highlighting is used to indicate transitions in power between the leagues, or periods of balance when the leagues are almost even, and yellow highlighting is used for those leagues in which the league’s four-indicator strength index is less than .400. My thanks to reader Bearbyz, who called my attention to an error in the BL3 column in the work posted yesterday.
Season
|
League
|
BL1
|
BL2
|
BL3
|
BL4
|
Total
|
1876
|
NL
|
.500
|
.452
|
.450
|
.222
|
.406
|
1877
|
NL
|
.500
|
.447
|
.450
|
.229
|
.406
|
1878
|
NL
|
.500
|
.351
|
.450
|
.264
|
.391
|
1879
|
NL
|
.519
|
.398
|
.450
|
.325
|
.423
|
1880
|
NL
|
.533
|
.390
|
.450
|
.371
|
.436
|
1881
|
NL
|
.533
|
.452
|
.450
|
.441
|
.469
|
1882
|
AA
|
.439
|
.452
|
.450
|
.258
|
.400
|
1882
|
NL
|
.547
|
.493
|
.450
|
.453
|
.486
|
1883
|
AA
|
.433
|
.509
|
.450
|
.282
|
.418
|
1883
|
NL
|
.559
|
.499
|
.450
|
.460
|
.492
|
1884
|
AA
|
.403
|
.454
|
.450
|
.280
|
.397
|
1884
|
NL
|
.592
|
.484
|
.450
|
.501
|
.507
|
1884
|
UA
|
.500
|
.411
|
.450
|
.207
|
.392
|
1885
|
AA
|
.437
|
.466
|
.450
|
.265
|
.404
|
1885
|
NL
|
.562
|
.478
|
.450
|
.486
|
.494
|
1886
|
AA
|
.449
|
.448
|
.450
|
.311
|
.415
|
1886
|
NL
|
.551
|
.487
|
.450
|
.547
|
.509
|
1887
|
AA
|
.410
|
.410
|
.450
|
.308
|
.395
|
1887
|
NL
|
.589
|
.471
|
.450
|
.587
|
.524
|
1888
|
AA
|
.421
|
.416
|
.450
|
.299
|
.396
|
1888
|
NL
|
.578
|
.463
|
.450
|
.587
|
.520
|
1889
|
AA
|
.414
|
.449
|
.450
|
.328
|
.410
|
1889
|
NL
|
.583
|
.480
|
.450
|
.626
|
.535
|
1890
|
AA
|
.437
|
.446
|
.450
|
.217
|
.387
|
1890
|
NL
|
.559
|
.441
|
.450
|
.474
|
.481
|
1890
|
PL
|
.500
|
.482
|
.450
|
.501
|
.483
|
1891
|
AA
|
.429
|
.464
|
.450
|
.337
|
.420
|
1891
|
NL
|
.561
|
.468
|
.450
|
.725
|
.551
|
1892
|
NL
|
.554
|
.480
|
.450
|
.648
|
.533
|
1893
|
NL
|
.532
|
.485
|
.450
|
.566
|
.508
|
1894
|
NL
|
.515
|
.500
|
.450
|
.505
|
.492
|
1895
|
NL
|
.500
|
.502
|
.450
|
.503
|
.489
|
1896
|
NL
|
.500
|
.506
|
.450
|
.506
|
.491
|
1897
|
NL
|
.500
|
.500
|
.450
|
.556
|
.502
|
1898
|
NL
|
.489
|
.506
|
.450
|
.627
|
.518
|
1899
|
NL
|
.479
|
.504
|
.450
|
.607
|
.510
|
1900
|
NL
|
.486
|
.512
|
.450
|
.727
|
.544
|
1901
|
AL
|
.520
|
.505
|
.450
|
.405
|
.470
|
1901
|
NL
|
.484
|
.505
|
.450
|
.710
|
.537
|
1902
|
AL
|
.504
|
.519
|
.450
|
.559
|
.508
|
1902
|
NL
|
.497
|
.508
|
.450
|
.484
|
.485
|
1903
|
AL
|
.508
|
.517
|
.450
|
.537
|
.503
|
1903
|
NL
|
.493
|
.517
|
.450
|
.494
|
.488
|
1904
|
AL
|
.458
|
.519
|
.450
|
.551
|
.495
|
1904
|
NL
|
.540
|
.508
|
.450
|
.518
|
.504
|
1905
|
AL
|
.425
|
.519
|
.450
|
.506
|
.475
|
1905
|
NL
|
.574
|
.508
|
.450
|
.515
|
.512
|
1906
|
AL
|
.470
|
.509
|
.450
|
.530
|
.490
|
1906
|
NL
|
.530
|
.498
|
.450
|
.508
|
.496
|
1907
|
AL
|
.421
|
.496
|
.450
|
.556
|
.481
|
1907
|
NL
|
.579
|
.496
|
.450
|
.474
|
.500
|
1908
|
AL
|
.446
|
.499
|
.450
|
.559
|
.489
|
1908
|
NL
|
.554
|
.491
|
.450
|
.518
|
.503
|
1909
|
AL
|
.479
|
.474
|
.450
|
.585
|
.497
|
1909
|
NL
|
.521
|
.497
|
.450
|
.455
|
.481
|
1910
|
AL
|
.533
|
.477
|
.450
|
.628
|
.522
|
1910
|
NL
|
.467
|
.501
|
.450
|
.482
|
.475
|
1911
|
AL
|
.549
|
.489
|
.450
|
.563
|
.513
|
1911
|
NL
|
.451
|
.507
|
.450
|
.496
|
.476
|
1912
|
AL
|
.557
|
.481
|
.450
|
.590
|
.519
|
1912
|
NL
|
.443
|
.501
|
.450
|
.482
|
.469
|
1913
|
AL
|
.591
|
.479
|
.450
|
.592
|
.528
|
1913
|
NL
|
.409
|
.505
|
.450
|
.513
|
.469
|
1914
|
AL
|
.543
|
.485
|
.450
|
.568
|
.512
|
1914
|
FL
|
.500
|
.513
|
.450
|
.248
|
.428
|
1914
|
NL
|
.457
|
.491
|
.450
|
.508
|
.477
|
1915
|
AL
|
.601
|
.494
|
.450
|
.607
|
.538
|
1915
|
FL
|
.500
|
.514
|
.450
|
.270
|
.433
|
1915
|
NL
|
.399
|
.502
|
.450
|
.443
|
.449
|
1916
|
AL
|
.595
|
.505
|
.450
|
.660
|
.552
|
1916
|
NL
|
.405
|
.507
|
.450
|
.527
|
.472
|
1917
|
AL
|
.571
|
.524
|
.450
|
.681
|
.556
|
1917
|
NL
|
.429
|
.516
|
.450
|
.477
|
.468
|
1918
|
AL
|
.556
|
.520
|
.450
|
.578
|
.526
|
1918
|
NL
|
.444
|
.512
|
.450
|
.393
|
.450
|
1919
|
AL
|
.513
|
.527
|
.450
|
.679
|
.542
|
1919
|
NL
|
.487
|
.520
|
.450
|
.412
|
.467
|
1920
|
AL
|
.535
|
.525
|
.450
|
.636
|
.536
|
1920
|
NL
|
.465
|
.523
|
.450
|
.496
|
.484
|
1921
|
AL
|
.483
|
.517
|
.450
|
.684
|
.533
|
1921
|
NL
|
.517
|
.523
|
.450
|
.470
|
.490
|
1922
|
AL
|
.462
|
.508
|
.450
|
.688
|
.527
|
1922
|
NL
|
.538
|
.511
|
.450
|
.436
|
.484
|
1923
|
AL
|
.514
|
.510
|
.450
|
.664
|
.535
|
1923
|
NL
|
.486
|
.506
|
.450
|
.486
|
.482
|
1924
|
AL
|
.524
|
.504
|
.450
|
.669
|
.537
|
1924
|
NL
|
.476
|
.506
|
.450
|
.467
|
.475
|
1925
|
AL
|
.533
|
.499
|
.450
|
.667
|
.537
|
1925
|
NL
|
.467
|
.505
|
.450
|
.462
|
.471
|
1926
|
AL
|
.552
|
.500
|
.450
|
.662
|
.541
|
1926
|
NL
|
.448
|
.504
|
.450
|
.431
|
.458
|
1927
|
AL
|
.625
|
.489
|
.450
|
.693
|
.564
|
1927
|
NL
|
.375
|
.494
|
.450
|
.465
|
.446
|
1928
|
AL
|
.653
|
.492
|
.450
|
.609
|
.551
|
1928
|
NL
|
.347
|
.487
|
.450
|
.515
|
.450
|
1929
|
AL
|
.651
|
.495
|
.450
|
.626
|
.556
|
1929
|
NL
|
.349
|
.491
|
.450
|
.467
|
.439
|
1930
|
AL
|
.647
|
.497
|
.450
|
.602
|
.549
|
1930
|
NL
|
.353
|
.502
|
.450
|
.465
|
.442
|
1931
|
AL
|
.626
|
.501
|
.450
|
.547
|
.531
|
1931
|
NL
|
.374
|
.502
|
.450
|
.474
|
.450
|
1932
|
AL
|
.670
|
.504
|
.450
|
.575
|
.550
|
1932
|
NL
|
.330
|
.494
|
.450
|
.433
|
.427
|
1933
|
AL
|
.664
|
.510
|
.450
|
.628
|
.563
|
1933
|
NL
|
.336
|
.498
|
.450
|
.445
|
.432
|
1934
|
AL
|
.635
|
.505
|
.450
|
.578
|
.542
|
1934
|
NL
|
.365
|
.501
|
.450
|
.465
|
.445
|
1935
|
AL
|
.651
|
.518
|
.450
|
.539
|
.540
|
1935
|
NL
|
.349
|
.498
|
.450
|
.455
|
.438
|
1936
|
AL
|
.623
|
.507
|
.450
|
.530
|
.527
|
1936
|
NL
|
.377
|
.516
|
.450
|
.470
|
.453
|
1937
|
AL
|
.648
|
.505
|
.450
|
.527
|
.533
|
1937
|
NL
|
.352
|
.517
|
.450
|
.455
|
.444
|
1938
|
AL
|
.621
|
.486
|
.450
|
.561
|
.529
|
1938
|
NL
|
.379
|
.520
|
.450
|
.455
|
.451
|
1939
|
AL
|
.625
|
.472
|
.450
|
.599
|
.537
|
1939
|
NL
|
.375
|
.519
|
.450
|
.424
|
.442
|
1940
|
AL
|
.548
|
.481
|
.450
|
.563
|
.510
|
1940
|
NL
|
.452
|
.503
|
.450
|
.429
|
.458
|
1941
|
AL
|
.556
|
.494
|
.450
|
.563
|
.516
|
1941
|
NL
|
.444
|
.495
|
.450
|
.443
|
.458
|
1942
|
AL
|
.536
|
.497
|
.450
|
.501
|
.496
|
1942
|
NL
|
.464
|
.497
|
.450
|
.501
|
.478
|
1943
|
AL
|
.567
|
.502
|
.450
|
.368
|
.472
|
1943
|
NL
|
.433
|
.509
|
.450
|
.405
|
.449
|
1944
|
AL
|
.519
|
.489
|
.450
|
.284
|
.436
|
1944
|
NL
|
.481
|
.503
|
.450
|
.361
|
.449
|
1945
|
AL
|
.561
|
.472
|
.450
|
.299
|
.445
|
1945
|
NL
|
.439
|
.487
|
.450
|
.318
|
.423
|
1946
|
AL
|
.579
|
.510
|
.450
|
.470
|
.502
|
1946
|
NL
|
.421
|
.503
|
.450
|
.409
|
.446
|
1947
|
AL
|
.602
|
.512
|
.450
|
.477
|
.510
|
1947
|
NL
|
.398
|
.505
|
.455
|
.445
|
.451
|
1948
|
AL
|
.614
|
.511
|
.455
|
.494
|
.518
|
1948
|
NL
|
.386
|
.493
|
.460
|
.424
|
.441
|
1949
|
AL
|
.614
|
.496
|
.455
|
.503
|
.517
|
1949
|
NL
|
.386
|
.505
|
.470
|
.474
|
.459
|
1950
|
AL
|
.582
|
.506
|
.460
|
.479
|
.507
|
1950
|
NL
|
.418
|
.505
|
.481
|
.486
|
.473
|
1951
|
AL
|
.540
|
.507
|
.470
|
.520
|
.509
|
1951
|
NL
|
.460
|
.502
|
.486
|
.510
|
.490
|
1952
|
AL
|
.508
|
.494
|
.476
|
.433
|
.478
|
1952
|
NL
|
.492
|
.504
|
.476
|
.513
|
.496
|
1953
|
AL
|
.494
|
.496
|
.465
|
.436
|
.473
|
1953
|
NL
|
.506
|
.508
|
.481
|
.510
|
.501
|
1954
|
AL
|
.466
|
.500
|
.476
|
.465
|
.476
|
1954
|
NL
|
.534
|
.511
|
.511
|
.556
|
.528
|
1955
|
AL
|
.450
|
.496
|
.486
|
.508
|
.485
|
1955
|
NL
|
.550
|
.511
|
.522
|
.566
|
.537
|
1956
|
AL
|
.462
|
.502
|
.491
|
.518
|
.493
|
1956
|
NL
|
.538
|
.499
|
.532
|
.614
|
.546
|
1957
|
AL
|
.478
|
.505
|
.486
|
.472
|
.485
|
1957
|
NL
|
.522
|
.492
|
.522
|
.599
|
.534
|
1958
|
AL
|
.485
|
.501
|
.486
|
.474
|
.487
|
1958
|
NL
|
.515
|
.499
|
.552
|
.602
|
.542
|
1959
|
AL
|
.450
|
.499
|
.486
|
.477
|
.478
|
1959
|
NL
|
.550
|
.502
|
.557
|
.544
|
.538
|
1960
|
AL
|
.425
|
.499
|
.491
|
.532
|
.487
|
1960
|
NL
|
.575
|
.495
|
.557
|
.578
|
.551
|
1961
|
AL
|
.448
|
.508
|
.524
|
.408
|
.472
|
1961
|
NL
|
.552
|
.487
|
.557
|
.624
|
.555
|
1962
|
AL
|
.439
|
.512
|
.533
|
.410
|
.473
|
1962
|
NL
|
.561
|
.497
|
.557
|
.604
|
.555
|
1963
|
AL
|
.384
|
.507
|
.528
|
.387
|
.452
|
1963
|
NL
|
.616
|
.489
|
.557
|
.656
|
.580
|
1964
|
AL
|
.395
|
.495
|
.533
|
.456
|
.470
|
1964
|
NL
|
.605
|
.498
|
.557
|
.606
|
.567
|
1965
|
AL
|
.399
|
.485
|
.541
|
.439
|
.466
|
1965
|
NL
|
.601
|
.497
|
.557
|
.685
|
.585
|
1966
|
AL
|
.433
|
.494
|
.549
|
.477
|
.488
|
1966
|
NL
|
.567
|
.503
|
.557
|
.677
|
.576
|
1967
|
AL
|
.410
|
.502
|
.549
|
.479
|
.485
|
1967
|
NL
|
.590
|
.507
|
.557
|
.697
|
.588
|
1968
|
AL
|
.428
|
.513
|
.557
|
.504
|
.500
|
1968
|
NL
|
.572
|
.511
|
.557
|
.716
|
.589
|
1969
|
AL
|
.419
|
.514
|
.557
|
.465
|
.489
|
1969
|
NL
|
.581
|
.498
|
.557
|
.640
|
.569
|
1970
|
AL
|
.463
|
.514
|
.557
|
.474
|
.502
|
1970
|
NL
|
.538
|
.495
|
.557
|
.598
|
.547
|
1971
|
AL
|
.463
|
.507
|
.557
|
.484
|
.503
|
1971
|
NL
|
.537
|
.496
|
.557
|
.660
|
.563
|
1972
|
AL
|
.448
|
.512
|
.557
|
.503
|
.505
|
1972
|
NL
|
.552
|
.491
|
.557
|
.603
|
.551
|
1973
|
AL
|
.446
|
.503
|
.557
|
.505
|
.503
|
1973
|
NL
|
.554
|
.505
|
.557
|
.622
|
.560
|
1974
|
AL
|
.448
|
.498
|
.557
|
.530
|
.509
|
1974
|
NL
|
.552
|
.510
|
.557
|
.627
|
.561
|
1975
|
AL
|
.415
|
.494
|
.557
|
.564
|
.508
|
1975
|
NL
|
.585
|
.513
|
.557
|
.607
|
.566
|
1976
|
AL
|
.377
|
.503
|
.557
|
.538
|
.494
|
1976
|
NL
|
.623
|
.517
|
.557
|
.558
|
.564
|
1977
|
AL
|
.404
|
.506
|
.557
|
.496
|
.491
|
1977
|
NL
|
.596
|
.512
|
.557
|
.596
|
.566
|
1978
|
AL
|
.405
|
.503
|
.557
|
.527
|
.498
|
1978
|
NL
|
.595
|
.508
|
.557
|
.620
|
.570
|
1979
|
AL
|
.393
|
.507
|
.557
|
.460
|
.479
|
1979
|
NL
|
.607
|
.507
|
.557
|
.572
|
.561
|
1980
|
AL
|
.393
|
.507
|
.557
|
.465
|
.481
|
1980
|
NL
|
.607
|
.509
|
.557
|
.559
|
.558
|
1981
|
AL
|
.412
|
.515
|
.557
|
.349
|
.458
|
1981
|
NL
|
.588
|
.501
|
.557
|
.405
|
.513
|
1982
|
AL
|
.441
|
.503
|
.557
|
.553
|
.514
|
1982
|
NL
|
.559
|
.497
|
.557
|
.524
|
.534
|
1983
|
AL
|
.503
|
.507
|
.557
|
.523
|
.522
|
1983
|
NL
|
.498
|
.501
|
.557
|
.441
|
.499
|
1984
|
AL
|
.500
|
.502
|
.557
|
.511
|
.518
|
1984
|
NL
|
.500
|
.503
|
.557
|
.404
|
.491
|
1985
|
AL
|
.502
|
.499
|
.557
|
.553
|
.528
|
1985
|
NL
|
.498
|
.502
|
.557
|
.429
|
.497
|
1986
|
AL
|
.527
|
.494
|
.557
|
.505
|
.521
|
1986
|
NL
|
.473
|
.506
|
.557
|
.425
|
.490
|
1987
|
AL
|
.530
|
.501
|
.557
|
.527
|
.529
|
1987
|
NL
|
.470
|
.513
|
.557
|
.449
|
.497
|
1988
|
AL
|
.547
|
.511
|
.557
|
.530
|
.536
|
1988
|
NL
|
.453
|
.518
|
.557
|
.453
|
.495
|
1989
|
AL
|
.598
|
.507
|
.557
|
.501
|
.541
|
1989
|
NL
|
.402
|
.521
|
.557
|
.484
|
.491
|
1990
|
AL
|
.553
|
.504
|
.557
|
.525
|
.535
|
1990
|
NL
|
.447
|
.523
|
.557
|
.487
|
.504
|
1991
|
AL
|
.583
|
.497
|
.557
|
.515
|
.538
|
1991
|
NL
|
.417
|
.524
|
.557
|
.529
|
.507
|
1992
|
AL
|
.586
|
.504
|
.557
|
.519
|
.542
|
1992
|
NL
|
.414
|
.524
|
.557
|
.540
|
.509
|
1993
|
AL
|
.581
|
.511
|
.557
|
.490
|
.535
|
1993
|
NL
|
.419
|
.531
|
.557
|
.485
|
.498
|
1994
|
AL
|
.542
|
.514
|
.557
|
.412
|
.506
|
1994
|
NL
|
.458
|
.530
|
.557
|
.423
|
.492
|
1995
|
AL
|
.529
|
.511
|
.557
|
.500
|
.524
|
1995
|
NL
|
.471
|
.533
|
.557
|
.437
|
.500
|
1996
|
AL
|
.572
|
.514
|
.557
|
.522
|
.541
|
1996
|
NL
|
.428
|
.519
|
.557
|
.503
|
.502
|
1997
|
AL
|
.597
|
.510
|
.557
|
.530
|
.549
|
1997
|
NL
|
.403
|
.515
|
.557
|
.472
|
.487
|
1998
|
AL
|
.650
|
.503
|
.557
|
.526
|
.559
|
1998
|
NL
|
.350
|
.514
|
.557
|
.490
|
.478
|
1999
|
AL
|
.669
|
.503
|
.557
|
.500
|
.557
|
1999
|
NL
|
.331
|
.514
|
.557
|
.518
|
.480
|